Susceptibility to Change Analysis

Susceptibility to Change is used to broadly indicate the likelihood that an area will change in the near future. Change can include new development on previously undeveloped land, redevelopment, change of use, or intensification of use. The draft Susceptibility to Change map was created using a GIS overlay analysis of eleven factors.

• owner occupancy
• land status
• improvement to land ratio
• zoning and overlay districts
• projected growth in employment
• water service
• transit corridors
• road access
• property violations
• year built
• development cases

The study area was divided into 10-acre grid cells. For each factor, every cell received a normalized value between 0 and 1, with 0 being the least susceptible to change and 1 being the most susceptible to change. For each cell, all factors were then added together with equal weights to produce a final susceptibility score. On the final map, the susceptibility scores were divided using natural breaks into 3 categories: areas most susceptible to change, areas moderately susceptible to change, and areas least susceptible to change.

Susceptibility to Change Map

Susceptibility Factors

The maps presented below show the distribution of each susceptibility to change factor, as well as the final Susceptibility to Change map.