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Note: Since these log files are derived from the Closed Captions created during the Channel 6 live cablecasts, there are occasional spelling and grammatical errors. These Closed Caption logs are not official records of Council Meetings and cannot be relied on for official purposes. For official records or transcripts, please contact the City Clerk at (512) 974-2210.
MAYOR GARCIA: GOOD
MORNING EVERYBODY.
WE DON'T HAVE A CITY
MANAGER YET.
OH, THERE YOU ARE.
I WANTED TO KNOW WHO IS
THE CAWB OR ASSISTANT --
OR THE COUNCILMEMBER OR
ASSISTANT CITY MANAGER
OR CITY MANAGER WHO
BOUGHT THE DODGE PICKUP?
I WANT TO KNOW THAT
TOO.
THE RUMOR IS THAT'S
ABOUT JOE CANALES, BUT
WE'RE NOT SURE.
WE'LL BE CHECKING INTO
THAT LATER.
MAYOR GARCIA: JOE?
OKAY.
BECAUSE THAT LOOKS LIKE
A GAS GUZZLERS TO ME.
GOOD MORNING EVERYBODY.
IT'S WEDNESDAY, APRIL
17TH.
WE ARE AT THE COUNCIL
WORK SESSION OF THE CITY
COUNCIL OF AUSTIN,
TEXAS, CONVENING AT
10: -- ABOUT 10:16, 17.
WE'RE -- APRIL 17TH,
2002.
WE'RE AT ONE TEXAS
CENTER, 505 BARTON
SPRINGS ROAD.
WE'RE IN THE THIRD FLOOR
TRAINING ROOM.
AND WE HAVE -- WE DO NOT
HAVE ANY EXECUTIVE
SESSION TODAY, BUT WE
HAVE THREE ITEMS.
THE FIRST ONE IS A
PREVIEW OF ITEMS FOR
NEXT COUNCIL WORK
SESSION.
CITY MANAGER, DO YOU
HAVE ANYTHING?
COUNCILMEMBERS?
OKAY.
THE NEXT ITEM IS LISTED
AS ITEM NUMBER 1 ON THE
BRIEFING.
BUDGET BRIEFING ON CORE
SERVICES INITIATIVE
(PROCESS/CRITERIA TO
CLASSIFY CITY SERVICES),
REVENUE INITIATIVE
(ASSESSMENT OF POTENTIAL
NEW FEES AND/OR FEE
INCREASES) AND SALES TAX
UPDATE.
AND I'LL RECOGNIZE THE
CITY MANAGER ON THIS
ISSUE.
WE'RE ACTUALLY GOING
TO TAKE THE ITEM IN THE
REVERSE ORDER.
WE'RE GOING TO START
WITH THE SALES TAX
DISCUSSION.
WE'LL MOVE INTO THE
REVENUE DESCRIPTION AND
THEN INTO CORE SFTIONS
ANDVICES AND THEN INTO
THE NEXT BUDGET.
BUT THIS HAS TO DO WITH
OUR SALES TAX UPDATE.
I'LL TURN IT OVER TO
RUDY AND HE'LL INTRODUCE
OUR GUEST PRESENTER
TODAY WHO IS GOING TO
GIVE YOU THE DEFINITIVE
ART OF SALES TAX
FORECASTING.
MAYOR AND COUNCIL.
THIS MORNING WE HAVE
JOHN HOKENUS OF TEXAS
PERSPECTIVES, WHO HAS
BEEN WORKING CLOSELY
WITH US.
TO GIVE YOU BACKGROUND,
JOHN IS A LOCAL
COMMITTEIST HERE WORKING
FOR -- ECONOMIST HERE
WORKING ON ECONOMIC AND
PUBLIC POLICY ISSUES
MOST RECENTLY AND
FOCUSING ON THE PUBLIC
SECTOR.
SOME OF HIS RECENT
PUBLIC SECTOR CLIENTS
INCLUDE THE STATE OF
CALIFORNIA, STATE OF
TEXAS, CITY OF
SAN ANTONIO, EL PASO,
NEW BRAUNFELS AND
SEVERAL OTHER ENCOUNTERS
WITH PRIVATE
ORGANIZATIONS.
TAKING HIM BASICALLY ALL
OVER THE COUNTRY WORKING
ON ECONOMIC ISSUES.
HE'S WORKED RECENTLY
WITH THE CITY OF AUSTIN
ON THE ECONOMIC IMPACT
OF THE MUSIC INDUSTRY,
AND THAT REPORT WAS
PROVIDED TO YOU A COUPLE
OF MONTHS BACK.
AND I GUESS MOST
RECENTLY THE ECONOMIC
IMPACT ON THE DALLAS
COWBOYS TRAINING CAMP.
SO WE FEEL FORTUNATE
THAT JOHN IS ABLE TO
PROVIDE US SOME
INFORMATION AND SUPPORT,
AND DEFINITELY JOHN IS
REGULARLY CALLED FOR
INSIGHT AND PERSPECTIVE
ON LOCAL, REGIONAL AND
NATIONAL ECONOMIC
ISSUES.
AND WITH THAT I'LL TURN
IT OVER TO JOHN.
THANK YOU.
MAYOR GARCIA: IS
THERE A MIC OVER THERE?
USE THAT ONE.
IS THIS ON?
MAYOR GARCIA: YES.
I DON'T KNOW IF IT'S
A GOOD SIGN OR A BAD
SIGN THAT I WANT TO BE
ON MY FEET TO DO THIS
DEAL.
IT'S INTERESTING THAT
THE CITY MANAGER CALLS
THIS THE DEFINITIVE ART
BECAUSE, OF COURSE,
THOSE -- THAT'S A LITTLE
BIT OF AN OXYMORON.
OBVIOUSLY ECONOMICS IS
MORE ART THAN SCIENCE.
WHAT I'M GOING TO TRY TO
DO THIS MORNING IS GIVE
YOU ALL A LITTLE BIT OF
A CONTEXT ON WHAT'S
HAPPENING AND THE
FACTORS OUT THERE THAT
ARE INFLUENCING THE
LOCAL ECONOMY HERE IN
AUSTIN, HOW THAT
TRANSLATES TO
SPECIFICALLY CONSUMER?c
ACTIVITY IN THE AUSTIN
AREA BECAUSE CLEARLY
THAT'S OBVIOUSLY WHAT
DRIVES SALES TAX GROWTH
OR LACK THEREOF IN
RECENT MONTHS.
AND THEN GIVE YOU MY
BEST GUESS ON WHAT'S
COMING DOWN THE ROAD FOR
THIS FISCAL YEAR AS SORT
OF A PRECURSOR TO WHAT
RUDY AND VICKY AND THE
CITY MANAGER WILL BE
TALKING TO YOU ALL ABOUT
AS WE GO FORWARD.
SO AS AN ECONOMIST, WE
CERTAINLY LIKE TO START
UP AT ABOUT?c 50,000 FEET.
LET'S GO AHEAD AND TALK
A LITTLE BIT ABOUT THE
NATIONAL ECONOMY AND HOW
IT'S AFFECTING US HERE.
TO BEGIN WITH, IT'S
CLEAR THAT THE NATIONAL
ECONOMY IS BEGINNING TO
EMERGE FROM WHAT HAS
BEEN TECHNICALLY A
MODERATE RECESSION.
I ACTUALLY THINK IN
SPITE OF SOME OF THE
MEDIA HYPE, THE RECOVERY
IS NOT GOING TO BE QUITE
AS RAPID AS FOLKS WOULD
LIKE.
AND WE WILL TALK A
LITTLE BIT ABOUT WHY I
FEEL THAT WAY.
I ASSUME IT'S NOT AN
EXTRAORDINARY INSIGHT TO
SUGGEST THAT THE AUSTIN
ECONOMY HAS ALSO
SUFFERED IN RECENT
MONTHS.
I BELIEVE THAT I CAN
WRITE YOU ALL A CHAPTER
AND YOU ALL CAN PROBABLY
WRITE ME AN EXTENSIVE
BOOK ON THAT TOPIC.
MOST THE ECONOMIC
INDICATORS IN AUSTIN
RIGHT NOW ARE FAIRLY
NEGATIVE.
OVER THE LONGER TERM I
CONTINUE TO BE VERY
POSITIVE ABOUT THIS
COMMUNITY.
I THINK THE FUNDAMENTALS
HERE ARE TERRIFIC, BUT
FRANKLY OUR SHORT-TERM
OUT LOOK, AND WHAT I SAY
SHORT TERM I REALLY MEAN
FOR THE BALANCE OF THIS
FISCAL YEAR IS A LITTLE
BIT CLOUDY.
I THINK WE'RE GOING TO
BE VERY FORTUNATE AS A
COMMUNITY TO SEE ANY
KIND OF?c GROWTH HERE OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL MONTHS,
AND FOR FISCAL YEAR
2002, MOST INDICATORS
MAY VERY WELL REMAIN
RELATIVELY NEGATIVE.
HERE ARE THE FACTORS OUT
THERE THAT I SEE SHAPING
THE OUTLOOK FOR THE
NATION'S ECONOMY
OVERALL.
AND I JUST LIKE THE
CATEGORIZE IT INTO THE
NEGATIVE NEWS AND THE
POSITIVE NEWS.
CLEARLY THERE ARE
NEGATIVES STILL
NEGOTIATED WITH THE
IMPACT OF THE --
NEGATIVES STILL
ASSOCIATED WITH THE
NEGATIVETIVES OF THE
TERRORIST ATTACKS.
YOU ARE SEEING RIGHT NOW
A VERY, VERY VOLATILE
STOCK MARKET.
PEOPLE APPEAR TO BE
GRABBING ON TO ANY
POSITIVE NEWS THEY CAN.
THE MARKET BOUNCES UP
AND THEN SOME NEGATIVE
NEWS COMES OUT, THE
MARKET BOUNCES BACK
DOWN.
FRANKLY, I STILL THINK
THE STOCK MARKET IS
SLIGHTLY OVERVALUED.
I THINK THERE HAS BEEN A
LITTLE TOO MUCH
ENTHUSIASM PREDICATED ON
THE POSSIBILITY OF
FUTURE GROWTH.
I THINK THAT WE'RE GOING
TO HAVE A PRETTY MUCH
SWAYS MARKET FOR THE --
SIDEWAYS MARKET FOR THE
BALANCE OF THE YEAR.
CONSUMER DEBT IS AT AN
ALL TIME HIGH RIGHT NOW.
AND THAT'S OKAY AS LONG
AS YOU CAN SERVICE IT.
BUT IF AND WHEN PEOPLE
STOP SPENDING MONEY, AND
WE KNOW SOMETHING ABOUT
THAT HERE IN AUSTIN, IT
TURNS INTO A PROBLEM.
THAT THIRD BULLET,
WORLDWIDE DEMAND AND
INVESTMENT, THAT
BASICALLY REFERS TO DO
PEOPLE NEED NEW THINGS
OUT THERE ALL OVER THE
WORLD AND ARE THEY
SPENDING MONEY?
ARE THEY INVESTING MONEY
TO CREATE NEW PLANT, NEW
CAPACITY, ETCETERA,
ETCETERA?
IT'S BEEN PRETTY SLOW.
AND PARTICULARLY SLOW
HERE IN THE UNITED
STATES AND I'LL SHOW YOU
SOME SPIKTS ON ALL THAT.
AND THEN THE BIAS ON
MONETARY POLICIES, THE
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK HAS
SIGNALED THAT THEY ARE
NOT GOING TO CUT
INTEREST RATES AGAIN ANY
TOO MANY SOON.
IF THEY MOVE AT ALL,
THEY CAN BE INCLINED TO
TIGHTEN OR RAISE
INTEREST RATES RATHER
THAN LOWER THEM.
THAT CLEARLY IS A
POTENTIAL NEGATIVE FOR
THE ECONOMY.
SO WHAT'S THE GOOD NEWS?
FIRST OF ALL, THERE IS
NO SIGN OF INFLATION OUT
THERE IN THE NATIONAL
ECONOMY AT ALL.
INFLATION IS REALLY NO
LONGER PART OF PEOPLE'S
PLANNING PROCESS, UNLIKE
15 OR 20 YEARS AGO WHEN
I CAN REMEMBER FOLKS
SAYING I BETTER BUY THIS
AND THAT NOW BECAUSE SIX
MONTHS FROM NOW IT'S
GOING TON 10% MORE THAN
IT IS TODAY.
THAT'S NO LONGER A
CONSIDERATION.
RIGHT NOW INTEREST RATES
ARE BASICALLY AT
HISTORIC LOWS,
PARTICULARLY WHEN YOU
LOOK AT THEM IN THE
CONTEXT OF THE FACT THAT
THERE IS NO INFLATION
OUT THERE.
AND SO THAT'S BEEN A
POSITIVE.
THERE'S GOING TO BE
POSITIVE EFFECTS OF THE
FED CUTTING INTEREST
RATES 11 TIMES THAT WE
HAVEN'T FELT YET.
ALSO, I WANT TO
EMPHASIZE THIS A LITTLE
BIT TOO, GOVERNMENT
SPENDING NATIONWIDE HAS
ACTUALLY ACCELERATED
OVER THE LAST NINE
MONTHS OR SO.
THAT'S HAD A VERY
POSITIVE EFFECT ON THE
ECONOMY.
SOME OF THAT IS RELATED
TO DEFENSE EXPENDITURES,
SOME OF THAT IS RELATED
TO HOMELAND SECURITY.
I'LL SHOW YOU AN
INTERESTING CHART THAT
SORT OF ILLUSTRATES THAT
POINT HERE IN JUST A
SECOND.
AND THEN FINALLY RIGHT
NOW, FOLKS ARE BEGINNING
TO BELIEVE, FOR BETTER
OR WORSE, THAT THINGS
ARE GETTING BETTER, AT
LEAST ON A NATIONWIDE
BASIS.
AND OF COURSE, CONSUMER
ATTITUDES ARE A BIG
DETERMINANT FOR THE
OUTLOOK OF ANY ECONOMY,
CONSUMER SPENDING DOES
ACCOUNT FOR ABOUT
TWO-THIRDS OF ALL
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY IN THE
UNITED STATES.
AND HOW WE FEEL ABOUT
THINGS IS A BIG
PREPREDICTOR OF HOW
THINGS ARE GOING TO GO.
SOME PICTURES TO
ILLUSTRATE ALL THIS,
THIS IS THE RATES ON A
QUARTERLY BASIS.
THE MOST RECENT DATA WE
HAVE ARE THE FOURTH
QUARTER OF 2001, THE
TECHNICAL DEFINITION OF
RECESSION IS TWO
CONSECUTIVE QUARTERS OF
NEGATIVE GROWTH.
SO ACORDING TO THIS WE
DOESN'T EXPERIENCE A
RECESSION.
BUT THAT'S AN ACADEMIC
EXERCISE.
MOST OF US FEEL THE
NEGATIVE EFFECTS.
IT IT WALKS LIKE A DUCK,
HAS FEATHERS AND QUACKS
A LOT, I WOULD BE
INCLINED TO CIEWL CAUL
IT A DUCK.
I WOULD SAY WE'RE IN A
RECESSION.
THAT FOURTH QUARTER
NUMBER IS INTERESTING.
THAT REPRESENTS 1.7%
GROWTH.
OF WHICH 100% IS
ATTRIBUTABLE TO IMPACT
OF GOVERNMENT SPENDING
IN THE FOURTH QUARTER.
SO IF YOU TAKE THE
GOVERNMENT OUT OF THE
EQUATION, THE NATIONAL
ECONOMY WAS FLAT IN THE
FOURTH QUARTER OF 2001.
THIS IS ALL GOVERNMENT
SPENDING, STATE, LOCAL
AND OF COURSE, FEDERAL
ACTIVITY.
THAT'S INTERESTING
BECAUSE WHAT IT SAYS TO
ME IS WHILE THINGS ARE
NOT GETTING A WHOLE LOT
WORSE, WE DON'T REALLY
HAVE A LOT OF EVIDENCE
THAT THINGS ARE GETTING
SUBSTANTIALLY BETTER AT
THE NATIONAL LEVEL.
GO AHEAD.
THERE IS SOME SIGN THAT
AGAIN OVERALL CONSUMER
SPENDING BOUNCED BACK.
PERSONAL SCIEWMTION
EXPENDITURES IS A TERM
THAT THE FEDERAL
GOVERNMENT USES AS A
BROAD UMBRELLA AND IT
COVERS MOST RETAIL
TRADE, INCLUDING
SPENDING ON NON-TAXABLE
EVENTS, SERVICES, THAT
KIND OF THINGS.
YOU CAN SEE A LITTLE A
LITTLE MORE POSITIVE IN
THE FOURTH QUARTER ON
THE HEELS OF A VERY,
VERY NEGATIVE THIRD
QUARTER.
THAT'S WHEN THE
TERRORIST ATTACKS
OCCURRED IN THE THIRD
QUARTER AND IT WAS
PRETTY CLEAR FOR A
PERIOD OF TIME THERE,
MOST OF US SAT AROUND
AND WATCHED CNN AND
DIDN'T GO OUT AND SPEND
MUCH MONEY.
AND CONSUMER CONFIDENCE
AGAIN NATIONWIDE IS A
?eITTLE MORE POSITIVE
THAN IT HAS BEEN IN THE
PAST.
THE MOST RECENT FIGURE
THERE IS FROM MARCH OF
2002.
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE IS A
FUNNY MEASURE BECAUSE
SOME OF IT IS BASED ON
REALITY.
AT THE END OF THE DAY
HOW YOU FEEL IS AT LEAST
IN LARGE PART DETERMINED
BY WHAT'S HAPPENING IN
YOUR LIFE, BUT ALSO A
LOT OF IT IS BASED ON
WHAT YOU HEAR AND WHAT
YOU READ AND WHAT YOU
HOPE WILL BE THE CASE.
AND I?c WOULD SUGGEST THAT
PART OF THAT POSITIVE
IMPROVEMENT MAY BE
REALITY, BUT A BIG PART
OF IT MAY BE WISHFUL
THINKING.
THIS IS ONE I JUST PUT
IN THERE BECAUSE IT'S
KIND OF INTERESTING.
THIS IS GROWTH AND
DISPOSABLE PERSONAL
INCOME, IN OTHER WORDS,
HOW MUCH MONEY DO YOU
HAVE TO SPEND AFTER YOU
PAY ALL YOUR BILLS.
VERY, VERY HIGH IN THE
THIRD QUARTER.
WHY?
BECAUSE NONE OF US WENT
INTO THE MALL.
WE ALL WATCHED CNN
AROUND THE TERRORIST
ATTACKS.
THEN AS THE CHRISTMAS
SEASON LOOMED, IT
DROPPED DOWNPLY BECAUSE
EVERYTHING R. EVERYBODY
SAID WE BETTER GET OUT
AND BUY THE THINGS WE
DIDN'T BUY A COUPLE OF
MONTHS AGO.
IT'S INTERESTING TO SEE
THE IMPACT OF ONE MAJOR
EVENT ON SOME OF THESE
ECONOMIC MEASURES.
THIS I THINK IS A FAIRLY
KEY INDICATOR.
REAL PRIVATE INVESTMENT,
REAL MEANING IT HAS BEEN
ADJUSTED FOR INFLATION,
BASICALLY SPENDING BY
BUSINESSES FOR THE
PURPOSES OF FURTHERING
THEIR BUSINESS ACTIVITY.
AND YOU CAN SEE THROUGH
THE FOURTH QUARTER THAT
IT'S A VERY NEGATIVE
NUMBER AS COMPARED TO
THE FOURTH QUARTER OF
2000.
THIS INFORMATION
CONCERNS ME BECAUSE
UNTIL I SEE THAT TREND
BEGIN TO IMPROVE A
LITTLE BIT, AND I THINK
IT IS IN THE PROCESS OF
IMPROVING A LITTLE BIT
RIGHT NOW, WHAT I THINK
IS SORT OF THE
UNDERLYING CORE ECONOMY
OF THE COUNTRY I THINK
IS STILL RELATIVELY
SOFT.
AND SO WE'RE OBVIOUSLY
PAYING SOME CLOSE
ATTENTION TO THEM.
ON THE POSITIVE SIDE
THAT'S GROWTH IN THE
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
AGAIN THROUGH FEBRUARY.
IT'S A NON-EVENT.
ESSENTIALLY ZERO.
WHICH MEANS WE ARE
LOOKING AT VIRTUALLY NO
INFLATION OUT THERE IN
THE WORLD RIGHT NOW.
SYMPTOM LA ACTIVE IS A
MAID UP ECONOMICS WORD.
IT JUST MEANS THAT IT'S
LIKELY TO CREATE A
POSITIVE EFFECT AS
OPPOSED TO A NEGATIVE.
AS YOU CAN SEE, THE FED
HAS CUT INTEREST RATES
11 TIME.
SOME OF THAT IMPACT HAS
ALREADY BEEN FELT AND IN
FACT, I'LL TELL YOU
WHERE IT REALLY SHOWS
UP, IT PROMPTS PEOPLE TO
REFINANCE THEIR
MORTGAGES, CUT DOWN
THEIR HOUSING COSTS IN
THE PROCESS, AND I THINK
A LOT OF THAT
REFINANCE-RELATED MONEY
HAS BEEN PLOWED BACK
INTO THE ECONOMY IN THE
FORM OF CONSUMER
SPENDING.
WE ALL KNOW FOLKS WHO
WENT OUT AND REFINANCED
THEIR HOMES AT, GOSH, I
CUT MY PAYMENTS A COUPLE
HUNDRED BUCKS A MONTH
AND I GOT SOME MONEY
BACK AND AIM GOING TO
TURN AROUND AND SPEND
THAT MONEY ON WHATEVER.
SO THAT'S A POSITIVE
EFFECT.
THE IMPACT YET TO COME
IS IF AND WHEN BUSINESS
BEGINS TO INVEST,
THEY'LL BE ABLE TO
BORROW MONEY AT LOWER
RATES.
AND THAT WILL HAVE A
POSITIVE EFFECT.
WE HAVEN'T REALLY BEGUN
TO SEE THAT YET.
AGAIN, THE FISCAL
POLICIES, THAT'S
GOVERNMENT SPENDING.
WE THINK THERE WILL BE
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 100
AND 120 BILLION DOLLARS
INJECTED INTO THE
ECONOMY BY THE FEDERAL
GOVERNMENT OVER THE NEXT
YEAR OR SO.
SOME OF THAT ALREADY IS
ALREADY INCURRED.
ONE OF THE NICE THINGS
ABOUT THE FEDERAL LEVEL,
THEY CAN AFFORD TO RUN A
DEFICIT INLIKE FOLKS IN
THE STATE AND LOCAL
GOVERNMENT.
THAT ALLOWS THEM TO PUMP
UP THE ECONOMY A LITTLE
BIT AT A TIME WHEN IT
CAN USE A LITTLE
BOLSTERING.
AS I MENTIONED EARLIER,
THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK
HAS SCHEDULED IF THEY'RE
GOING TO MAKE ANY MOVES,
THEY'LL RAISE INTEREST
RATES.
S AT HAS A NEGATIVE
EFFECT.
IF INTEREST RATES GO UP,
I THINK THIS REFINANCING
ACTIVITY COMES TO A
SCREECHING HALT AND THAT
HAS A NEGATIVE EFFECT ON
CONSUMER SPENDING.
SO THIS IS OUR FORECAST
FOR THE NATIONAL
ECONOMY.
IT IS CLEARLY GOING TO
BE SLOWER THAN IT HAS
BEEN.
THE ORANGE BARS
REPRESENT 2002 AND 2003.
YOU CAN SEE THAT THERE
WAS A PERIOD THERE WE
REALLY DID HAVE
EXTRAORDINARY GROWTH.
I WENT TO NERD SCHOOL A
LONG TIME AGO AND BACK
IN NERD SCHOOL THEY
LAWSUIT TAUT US THE
SPEED LIMIT FOR THE
ECONOMY WAS ABOUT TWO
AND A HALF PERCENT A
YEAR BEFORE YOU STARTED
RUNNING INTO INFLATION.
RECENT HIS TRY TELLS YOU
THAT'S NOT TRUE AND
THAT'S A SEPARATE
SPEECH, BUT I THINK IT
HAS TO DO WITH THINGS
LIKE INFORMATION
TECHNOLOGY AND ETCETERA,
MAKING US ALL MORE
PRODUCTIVE.
I THINK THE SPEED LIMIT
IS NOW EFFECTIVELY
CLOSER TO FOUR PE&%CENT.
I THINK WE WILL WORK OUR
WAY BACK TOWARD FOUR
PERCENT GROWTH, BUT I
DON'T THINK WE'LL SEE IT
THIS YEAR OR THE NEXT
YEAR.
I WOULD JUST BE THRILLED
IF I WAS DEAD WRONG
ABOUT THAT.
THE BEST THING IN THE
WORLD IS FOR ME TO ISSUE
A CONSERVATIVE
PROJECTION AND THEN BE
ON THE LOW SIDE.
LET ME SAY
INTELLECTUALLY I HOPE
I'M RIGHT, BUT FOR THE
GOOD OF THE WORLD I HOPE
I'M WRONG ON THIS
PROJECTION.
SO WHAT'S THE SITUATION
HERE IN AUSTIN?
WHAT WE AS A COMMUNITY
HAS ENJOYED
EXTRAORDINARY ECONOMIC
GROWTH OVER THE LAST 10
YEARS.
YOU GUYS KNOW THAT
PROBABLY BETTER THAN I
DO.
I JUST PULLED ONE
MEASURE THAT I THOUGHT
WAS KIND OF INTERESTING.
THIS IS THE AVERAGE WAGE
PAID HER JOB IN THE
AUSTIN METROPOLITAN AREA
VERSUS THE UNITED STATES
AS A WHOLE.
AND YOU CAN SEE REALLY
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF
OF THE LAST DECADE, WE
RAN BELOW THE NATIONAL
AVERAGE.
WE ARE THE RED LINE AS
OPPOSED TO THE BLUE
LINE, WHICH IS THE
UNITED STATES.
AND THEN ALL OF A
SUDDEN, IT SKYROCKETED
SHARPLY UP UNTIL BY
2000, WHICH IS THE LAST
ACTUAL DATA WE HAVE,
AVERAGE WAGES PER JOB IN
AUSTIN WERE 5,000
DOLLARS GREATER THAN THE
NATION AS A WHOLE.
THAT'S EXTRAORDINARY
GROWTH.
AND THAT CREATES
OBVIOUSLY SUBSTANTIAL
LEVELS OF INCOME WHICH
PEOPLE COULD TURN AROUND
AND SPEND.
AND THIS IS JUST WAGES
PER JOB.
THIS DOESN'T INCLUDE ALL
OF THE STOCK MARKET
RELATED GAMES THAT WE
ALL SAW HERE IN AUSTIN
AS WELL.
WE'LL TALK ABOUT THAT.
BUT WHAT IT SAYS IS THAT
THROUGH THE 90'S WE WENT
FROM UNDERPERFORMING THE
NATION AS A WHOLE TO
SIGNIFICANTLY OUT
PERFORMING THE NATION AS
A WHOLE.
SO WHAT ARE THE CURRENT
DRIVERS OF OUR ECONOMY?
AND THESE ARE SORT OF
CATEGORIZATIONS THAT
I'VE USED.
WE CAN DEBATE WHETHER
THEY'RE APPROPRIATE OR
NOT.
WHEN I SAY A TRADITIONAL
COMPANY, I'M TALKING
ABOUT THE SEMICONDUCTOR
COMPANIES, LIKE DELL,
MOTOROLA, AMD.%,Vy
THERE ARE SOME SIGNS OF
IMPROVEMENT OUT THERE,
BUT THEY'RE STILL WELL
OFF THEIR HIGHS AND WE
DON'T EXPECT THE DEMAND
FOR SEMI CONDUCTORS TO
PICK UP SHARPLY UNTIL
THE SECOND HALF OF THIS
YEAR OR 2003.
SO YOU HAVEN'T SEEN A
WHOLE LOT OF IMPROVEMENT
THERE.
FROM MY PURPOSES, NEW
TECH IS ESSENTIALLY THE
INTERNET-RELATED
ACTIVITIES.
I DIDN'T MAKE THAT TERM
UP, BUT IT IS KIND OF
GOOD.
THERE WAS A LOT OF
EXCITEMENT.
THERE ARE A FEW
COMPANIES USING THE
INTERNET THAT ARE DOING
OKAY, BUT AS A GENERAL
RULE, WE'RE EXPERIENCING
THE -- THIS GENERATION'S
VERSION OF THE REAL
ESTATE BOOM OF THE EARLY
AND MID 1980S, FRANKLY.
A LOT OF ENTHUSIASM THAT
DIDN'T TRANSLATE INTO A
WHOLE LOT OF REAL
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY.
I THINK THAT LONGER TERM
IN THIS COMMUNITY A LOT
OF OUR FUTURE RELIES IN
THE SOFTWARE AND
RESEARCH AND
PROFESSIONAL SERVICES,
WHETHER IT'S CONSIDERED
TO BE VERY HIGH VALUE
ADDED, KNOWLEDGE INTENSE
ACTIVE AREAS.
I THINK THAT'S VERY
PROMISING FOR US,
PARTICULARLY OVER THE
NEXT THREE TO FIVE
YEARS.
BUT TO SOME DEGREE
THAT'S GOING TO CYCLE
CAN THE NATIONAL
ECONOMY, PARTICULARLY
THE PROFESSIONAL
SERVICES SIDE.
STATE GOVERNMENT AND
U.T. HAVE ALWAYS BEEN A
STABILIZING FORCE HERE.
THEY CONTINUE TO BE.
I'M A LITTLE CONCERNED
ABOUT THE STATE'S
BUNGTS.
I MEAN -- BUDGET.
THEY'RE FACING THE SAME
ISSUES THAT COUNCILS AND
PUBLIC SECTOR BODIES ARE
FACING EVERYWHERE.
THE BEST GUESS IS STATE
IS SOMEWHERE BETWEEN
FIVE AND SEVEN BILLION
DOLLARS SHORT FOR THE
NEXT BIENNIUM.
THAT COULD HAVE A
NEGATIVE EFFECT ON ONE
AS WELL -- ON AUSTIN AS
WELL.
SO WHAT ARE THE I AM
PLATATION CAEUTIONS FOR
ALL THAT ON CONSUMER
SPENDING HERE?
MY GUESS IS IN THE
REGION WE'VE HAD ABOUT
27,000 LAYOFFS.
THAT'S AN APPROXIMATION.
I'VE SEEN A VARIETY OF
STATISTICS ON THAT.
I THINK THAT'S PROBABLY
THE HIGH END, BUT IT
GIVES YOU A SENSE IN THE
ORDER?c OF MAGNITUDE.
OBVIOUSLY IF YOU LOSE
YOUR JOB, PARTICULARLY
IF YOU LOSE YOUR WELL
PAYING JOB, FIRST OF ALL
YOU WILL BE NERVOUS
ABOUT SPENDING A WHOLE
LOT OF MONEY.
AND SECOND OF ALL, IF
YOU FIND ANOTHER JOB IN
THIS ENVIRONMENT, MOST
OF THE TIME IT'S GOING
TO BE AT A LOWER LEVEL
OF PAY.
SO YOU WILL HAVE TO
FOCUS ON MEETING YOUR
OBLIGATIONS RATHER THAN
HAVE A LOT OF MONEY OUT
THERE TO SPEND.
SO THAT IS CLEARLY A
NEGATIVE EFFECT.
SECOND THING IS WHAT'S
CALLED THE WEALTH
EFFECT.
THE WEALTH EFFECT
ESSENTIALLY MEANS IF
YOUR STOCK MARKET
PORTFOLIO IS RISING, YOU
FEEL GOOD.
REMEMBER THE FOLKS WE
USED TO KNOW, INCLUDING
SOME OF US WHO WOULD
CHECK THEIR STOCK
PORTFOLIO EVERYDAY TO
SEE HOW MUCH WENT UP
EVERYDAY?
WE FELT RICH WHEN THAT
HAPPENED.
I DID DAYS WHEN IT
BOUNCED UP A LOT AND YOU
SAID I FILE LIKE HAVING
DINNER TODAY TONIGHT OR
GOING OUT AND BUYING
SOMETHING I DON'T NEED
BECAUSE I'M FEELING
RICH.
THAT'S ALL GONE.
IT'S GONE IN THE
OPPOSITE DIRECTION RIGHT
NOW.
LOTS AND LOTS OF PEOPLE
ARE SAYING, MAN, I USED
TO BE WORTH X AND NOW
I'M WORTH LESS THAN 20%
X.
NO REAL MONEY HAS
CHANGED HANDS, BUT
CONSUMER FEELINGS HAVE
CHANGED QUITE A BIT.
AND OBVIOUSLY THAT'S A
CONCERN.
I THINK MYGATION INTO
TOWN HAS SLOWED
CONSIDERABLY.
AND PART OF WHAT HELPED
US GROW IS THERE WERE
MORE OF US HERE.
YOU GUYS HAD TO DEAL
WITH THE IN MIGRATION
OVER THE LAST 10 YEARS.
THE TRAFFIC AND
EVERYTHING ELSE.
I THINK THAT'S SLOWED
DOWN, SO THERE ARE FEWER
FOLKS MOVING IN TO DRIVE
GROWTH.
THE OTHER THING THAT'S
AN ISSUE IS WE'VE SEEN A
LOT OF SUBURBAN
EYESIZATION.
WHICH IS PEOPLE SAYING I
CAN'T AFFORD A HOUSE IN
AUSTIN.
I'VE GOT TO FLOOF MOOF
TO DISARKS, I'VE GOT TO
MOVE TO PFLUGERVILLE,
I'VE GOT TO MOVE TO LAKE
COUNTY.
WHERE THE PEOPLE GO, THE
RETAIL ACTIVITY FOLLOWS.
NOW YOU CAN GO TO THE
GROCERY STORE IN CEDAR
PARK, YOU CAN GO TO THE
DEPARTMENT STORE IN
CEDAR PARK.
YOU CAN BUY WHAT YOU
NEED IN THESE
COMMUNITIES.
WE RAN SOME STATISTICS
WHICH I HAVEN'T PUT UP
HERE, BUT 20 YEARS AGO
90% OF THE TAXABLE
RETAIL ACTIVITY IN THE
AUSTIN METROPOLITAN AREA
OCCURRED IN THE CITY OF?c
AUSTIN.
IN 2000, 70% OF IT DID.
AND SO THAT OBVIOUSLY,
WE WORRY ABOUT LOSING
TAX BASE TO THE SUBURBS.
IT'S NOT JUST PROPERTY?c
TAXES, IT'S OBVIOUSLY
ALSO SALES TAX BASE.
BUSINESS SPENDING, WHICH
DOES OBVIOUSLY AFFECT
SALES TAX REVENUES TO
SOME DEGREE AS WELL, IS
ALSO DOWN BECAUSE
FRANKLY THE BUSINESS
SEBTER OF OUR ECONOMY IS
PRETTY SLOW AND LOCAL
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE I
SAY HAS BEEN DAMAGED.
I'M NOT SAYING EVERYBODY
IS HANGING THEIR HEAD,
BUT THERE'S NO QUESTION
WE WERE ALL IEW FORERICK
FOR A PERIOD OF TIME AND
NOW THAT IS GONE.
SO I THINK ALL THAT ALSO
HAS AN IMPACT.
AND I THINK IT'S GOING
TO STAY PRETTY SLOW
UNTIL WE SEE THE SIGNS
OF NATIONAL RECOVERY
SHOWING UP HERE IN THE
AUSTIN COMMUNITY.
SOME CHARTS AGAIN, YOU
KNOW, THE CITY FOLKS
WILL PROBABLY SHOW YOU
MORE GALE DWAEUL ON
THIS.
THIS IS YEAR AFTER YEAR
GROWTH OF SALES TAX
REVENUES FOR THE LAST 12
MONTHS OR SO, ACTUALLY
THE LAST TWO YEARS.
YOU KNOW, GROWTH IN THE
DOUBLE DIGIT RANGE IS
EXTRAORDINARY.
AUSTIN%ED EXTRAORDINARY
SALES TAX GROWTH BACK IN
1999 AND 2000.
YOU CAN SEE IT'S TRENDED
DOWN FAIRLY SMARTLY
HERE.
IF WE RAN A LINE THROUGH
THAT, IT WOULD SHOW A
NICE DOWNWARD TREND.
WE'LL TALK ABOUT WHY
SOME OF THAT IS.
ONE OF THE THINGS THAT
IS OF INTEREST TO ME IS
THE TREND ON CURRENT
COLLECTIONS IS NOT AS
NEGATIVE AS ON ACTUAL
PAYMENTS.
THIS IS A LITTLE BIT
ARREST CONTAIN, BUT --
ARKHANE, BUT WHAT
HAPPENS IS THEY GET
MONEY IN AND THEY GET
MONEY IN FOR THE CURRENT
PERIOD, SOMETIMES
THERE'S PAYMENTS MADE IN
ADVANCE, SOMETIMES
THERE'S PAYMENTS THAT
REFLECT ACTIVITY SEVERAL
MONTHS AGO.
THERE'S AN AUDITING
FUNCTION, A LOT OF
MANIPULATION AROUND.
CURRENT COLLECTIONS IS
LITERALLY WHAT HAPPENED
IN TERMS OF SALES IN
THAT CURRENT MONTH.
AND SO IF YOU LOOK AT
THAT MAROON BAR THERE,
IT WAS NEGATIVE 8.3% IN
JANUARY.
BY APRIL IT WAS NEGATIVE
6.4.
NOW, THE ACTUAL PAYMENT
WAS DOWN 10%, BUT I SEE
A LITTLE BIT OF A
POSITIVE TREND IN THAT
CURRENT SELECTION OF
INFORMATION.
AGAIN, JUST SOMETHING TO
SORT OF TAKE A LOOK AT.
GO AHEAD.
HOW WE FORECAST SALES
TAX REVENUES.
I HAVE SPENT WAY MORE
TIME THAN ANY HUMAN
BEING SHOULD THINKING
ABOUT THIS.
THIS IS PART OF THE
CATEGORY OF THINGS THAT
MY WIFE REFERS TO AS THE?c
DON'T MAKE EYE CONTACT
MOMENTS BECAUSE I MIGHT
ACTUALLY TALK ABOUT IT
IF SHE DOESN'T WATCH
HERSELF.
BUT ANYWAY, THAT'S CLEAR
TO ME IS OVER TIME FOR A
LOCAL ECONOMY, THE BEST
PRE TICKET PREDICTOR OF
WHERE SALES TAX REVENUE
IS GOING TO GO IS JOB
GROWTH.
WHEN YOU THINK ABOUT
THAT THAT MAKES A
CERTAIN AMOUNT OF SENSE.
ARE WE ADDING JOBS,
WHICH ALSO TELLS US ARE
WE ADDING PEOPLE?
IF WE'RE ADDING JOBS OR
CREATING INCOMES, INCOME
ALLOWS PEOPLE TO GO OUT
AND BUY THINGS, PRETTY
STRAIGHTFORWARD.
ONE OF THE THINGS THAT
ALSO HAS TO HAPPEN IS
NOT ONLY ARE WE ADDING
JOBS, BUT HOW MUCH TAX
REVENUE WITH WE EXPECT
TO IMET PER JoiB BECAUSE
NOT ALL JOBS ARE CREATED
ACTUAL.
AN 80,000 DOLLAR A YEAR
JOB IS GOING TO CREATE
MORE DISPOSABLE INCOME
THAN A 20,000 DOLLAR A
YEAR JOB.
SO WHEN WE DO OUR
FORECAST, IT'S?c A
RELATIVELY SIMPLE
CALCULATION.
WHAT DO WE THINK JOB
GROWTH IS GOING TO BE
TIMES HOW MUCH MONEY DO
WE THINK EACH JOB IS
GOING TO GENERATE IN THE
SALES TAX REVENUE, THAT
TELLS US WHAT WE THINK
SALES TAX REVENUE IS
GOING TO BE.
IT'S PRETTY SIMPLE.
THIS IS TRAVIS COUNTY
JOB GROWTH.
AND ONE OF THE THINGS
THAT I HAVE -- ONE OF
THE THINGS I'VE LOOKED
AT THIS THIS WHOLE
EQUATION IS DO YOU USE
THE WHOLE COUNTY, DO YOU
USE THE MSA.
BOTTOM LINE IS THE CORE
COUNTY, TRAVIS IN THIS
CASE, MAKES A LITTLE
MORE SENSE.
YOU CAN SEE IT?c PEAKED
OUT THERE AT AROUND SIX
PERCENT AT THE TAIL END
OF 2000.
IT IS NOW NEGATIVE IN
THE LAST MONTH, I
BELIEVE, .74%, BUT THERE
IS WHAT APPEARS TO BE A
LITTLE BIT OF AN UP TURN
IN THE SENSE THAT THE
DECLINE -- RATE OF
DECLINE IS SLOWING DOWN.
SO I THINK THAT'S A
POSITIVE.
I ACTUALLY BELIEVE, AND
I'LL TELL YOU ABOUT THIS
IN A LITTLE BIT.
WE MAY GET TO A POSITIVE
FIGURE ON THIS BY THE
END OF THE YEAR.
I THINK THINGS ARE
BASICALLY BOMBING OUT AS
WE?c SIT HERE AND THAT'S
INDICATED -- MY
INDICATORS CONFIRM THAT.
JUST TO REINFORCE WHAT I
SAID, THOSE ARE TWO
CHARTS, THAT'S GROWTH IN
SALES TAX REVENUE AND
GROWTH IN TRAVIS COUNTY
EMPLOYMENT.
YOU KNOW, I CAN TELL YOU
THAT THE CORRELATION --
I CAN GIVE YOU THE
CORRELATION OF
STATISTICS.
YOU CAN LOOK AND SEE
THEY'RE VERY TIMELY
CONNECTSED.
THOSE ARE ANNUAL FIGURES
FROM 1991 THROUGH 2001.
AND OBVIOUSLY THEY MOVE
VERY CLOSELY TOGETHER,
WHICH AGAIN BOLSTERS OUR
VIEW OF THIS BEING THE
RIGHT WAY TO DO THIS.
GO AHEAD.
AND THEN THIS IS THE
HISTORY OF SALES TAX
REVENUE FOR JOBS.
IN THE EARLY 1990S IT
WAS IN THE 165 TO 170
DOLLAR RANGE.
IT ACTUALLY PEAKED OUT
LAST YEAR FOR FISCAL
YEAR 2001 AT A LITTLE
OVER 260 DOLLARS' WORTH
OF SALES TAX REVENUE FOR
JOBS VERSUS THE MOST
RECENT 12 MONTHS, WHICH
GOES THROUGH THE APRIL
PAYMENT, 253 DOLLARS.
FOR THE SALES TAX
REVENUE.
I DON'T HAVE A CHART ON
THIS, BUT TO GIVE YOU A
FRAME OF REFERENCE, THIS
IS BY FAR THE HIGHEST
LEVEL OF ANY MAJOR CITY
IN TEXAS.
EVEN STILL TODAY.
SO KIND OF WHAT OUR
CONCLUSIONS AND HOW DOES
THAT LEAD?c TO OUR
FORECAST?
I REALLY DO THINK MOST
OF THE BAD NEWS IS
PASSED IN AUSTIN.
I JUST DON'T THINK
THERE'S A LOT GOING ON
RIGHT NOW THAT'S
PROVIDING A LOT OF
POSITIVE NEWS.
WE'RE KIND OF -- I
WOULDN'T SAY WE'RE DEAD
IN THE WATER, BUT WE'RE
KIND OF DRIFTING SWAYSS
HERE A LITTLE BIT FOR
THE NEXT FEW MONTHS.
I HAVE HEARD OUT THERE
ON THE STREET THAT SOME
HIRINGING HAS RESUMED.
I'VE TALKED?c TO A A
COUPLE OF FOLKS RECENTLY
HIRED BY DELL.
BUT WE HAVEN'T HAD ANY
ANNOUNCEMENTS ON ANY
MAJOR EXPANSION OUTS
THERE.
GIVEN THE FACT THAT THE
STOCK MARKET-RELATED
BOOM IN THIS TOWN IS
OVER, WAGES ARE MORE
IMPORTANT THAN THEY HAVE
BEEN IN THE RECENT PAST.
WE ALL KNOW STORIES OF
PEOPLE AT DELL WHO WERE
WORTH A COUPLE MILLION
BUCKS ON AN ANNUAL
SALARY OF $45,000 A
YEAR.
THAT ISN'T GOING TO BE
THE CASE ANY TIME SOON.
WHAT YOU EARN ON YOUR
JOB IS INCREASINGLY
GOING TO BE, AT LEAST
COMPARED TO THE RECENT
PAST, DETERMINANT OF HOW
WELL YOU'RE DOING.
SO SORT OF TAKING THAT
ALL TOGETHER, THIS IS I
THINK POSSIBLY A PRETTY
GOOD UP SIDE, BUT I
WOULD BE CONCERNED WITH
YOUR PLANNING.
THAT'S WHAT YOU WILL ALL
DO, BUT I WOULD THINK
THAT GIVEN THE
UNCERTAINTY OUT THERE, A
CONSERVATIVE APPROACH
MAKES THE MOST SENSE.
AND I STILL AM VERY BULL
LISH ON THIS COMMUNITY,
HAVE BEEN FOR 10 YEARS
AND CONTINUE TO BE.
I THINK OUR FUNDAMENTAL
ADVANTAGES IN AUSTIN ARE
TREMENDOUS AND I THINK
IF THIS IS AS BAD AS IT
GETS IN THE CONTEXT OF
SOME BAD PLACES I'VE
SEEN, IT ISN'T TOO BAD.
IT HURTS A LOT WHEN YOU
GO FROM 15% GROWTH DOWN
TO NOTHING OR SLIGHTLY
NEGATIVE.
SO LET MEL AT THE YOU MY
PROJECTION ON WHAT I
THINK IS GOING TO
HAPPEN.
FIRST THE RANGE OF
FORECAST THAT WE'VE DONE
FOR THE TRAVIS COUNTY
GROWTH.
I MAPPED THIS FOR THE
CITY'S FISCAL YEAR
THROUGH SEPTEMBER OF
2002.
IT COULD BE AS LOW AS
NEGATIVE TWO PERCENT.
COULD BE AS POSITIVE AS
SIX-10TH OF A PERCENT
UP.
MY?hECONOMIST OR MAXIMUM
LIKELIHOOD SCENARIO IS A
DECLINE OF ABOUT A HALF%
FISCAL YEAR 2002
COMPARED TO FISCAL YEAR
2001.
WE GO FROM A LOW OF
ABOUT $248 PER JOB.
THAT'S TAKING THE MOST
RECENT JOBS AND
EXTRAPOLATING THE TREND
OUT OF THERE TO A HIGH
OF ABOUT $257 PER JOB.
THAT WOULD ASSUME SOME
PRETTY GOOD BOUNCE UP AT
THE END.
MY BEST GUESS IS AROUND
$250 IN A JOB IN TERMS
OF SALES TAX REVENUE.
SO THAT GENERATES,
AGAIN, USING ALL THESE
DIFFERENT SCENARIOS, A
PRETTY BROAD RANGE.
THINGS COULD BE AS BAD
THE THE NEGATIVE .25%.
MY BEST GUESS IS 118.IS
MILLION DOLLARS.
THAT'S A LOSS OF 3.IS
MILLION COLLARS IN 2001
AND IT'S A DROP OF ABOUT
2.6%.
THAT ASSUMES ESSENTIALLY
THAT THE EMPLOYMENT
SITUATION HAS
ESSENTIALLY BOIMED OUT.
AND THAT ALSO THE
REVENUE, THE SALES TAX
REVENUE FOR JOBS HAS
BASICALLY BOTTOMED OUT,
BUT THAT THERE IS NOT
GOING TO BE AN ENORMOUS
AMOUNT OF IMPROVEMENT
BETWEEN NOW AND THE END
OF THE YEAR.
SO THAT'S AN EXTERNAL
VIEW.
THAT'S MY BEST?c GUESS IN
THE CATEGORY OF
DEFINITIVE ART HERE.
LET'S EMPHASIZE THE ART
RATHER THAN THE
DEFINITIVE.
AND I'D BE HAPPY TO
ANSWER ANY QUESTIONS
Y'ALL HAVE.
MAYOR GARCIA: THANK
YOU.
HAVEK YOU VERY OF.
WHEN YOU WERE TALKING
ABOUT THE EXCESS OF
CAPITAL.
IN THE PERIODS FOLLOWING
THE BEGINNING OF THE
DOWNTURN, PARTICULARLY
IN THE NASDAQ MARKET AND
UNTIL IT BOTTOMED OUT AT
1700, THEY SAID THAT
THERE WERE TWO TRILLION
DOLLARS LOST IN STOCK
VALUES.
IS THAT GOING TO AFFECT
THE ABILITY OF COMPANIES
TO INVEST IN NEW
BUSINESS AND HOW IS THAT
GOING TO APPLY?
IT DEPENDS ON THE
COMPANY.
THAT'S A VERY GOOD
QUESTION.
IF YOU ARE A VERY, VERY
LARGE COMPANY YOU HAVE
THE ABILITY OF COURSE TO
FLOAT COMMERCIAL PAPER.
A LARGE, WELL
ESTABLISHED COMPANY.
THAT PROBABLY DOES NOT
HAVE A SIGNIFICANT
AFFECT ON YOUR ABILITY
TO RAISE CAPITAL.
WHO IT HURTS AREu]HE
MEDIUM SIZED COMPANIES,
THE SMALL COMPANIES AND
THE COMPANIES WHO HAVE
RECENTLY GONE PUBLIC WHO
NEED TO COME BACK FOR A
SECOND ROUND OF
FINANCING.
THOSE FOLKS ARE GOING TO
HAVE A HARD TIME.
IT ALSO IMPLICIT IN THIS
HURTS A LOT OF SMALL
BUSINESSES.
I'LL GIVE YOU AN
EXAMPLE.
I KNOW OF A RESTAURANT
HERE IN TOWN THAT WAS
FINANCED 25% EQUITY, 75%
DEBT, BUT THE VAST
MAJORITY OF THE DEBT WAS
COLLATERALIZED WITH DELL
STOCK.
THE PRICE OF DELL STOCK
IS A LITTLE BIT
DIFFERENT TODAY THAN IT
WAS WHEN ALL THAT
HAPPENED, SO THERE HAVE
BEEN SOME NEGATIVE
EFFECT FOR THE GUYS WHO
COLLATERALIZED IT USING
THEIR STOCK PORTFOLIO,
IT TAKES A WHOLE LOT
MORE DELL STOCK TO
COLLATERALIZE MG THAN IT
DID TWO OR THREE YEARS(ou
AGO.
THAT'S THE REAL WORLD
EFFECT THAT IS SORT OF
OVER AND ABOVE THE
WEALTH EFFECT THAT I'M
TALKING ABOUT.
I DON'T KNOW HOW MUCH
ACTIVITY IN THIS TOWN
WAS COLLATERALIZED WITH
STOCK PORTFOLIOS, BUT
I'M GUESSING IT'S A
BUNCH.
SO I THINK THAT THAT'S
KIND OF THE HIDDEN
IMPACT THAT WE DON'T
TYPICALLY?c SEE.
MAYOR GARCIA: ALSO,
THE REASON THAT WE HAD
THE -- THE REASON THAT
WE HAD THE CRAZINESS IN
THE MARKET IS THAT THE
BROKERAGE HOUSES DECIDED
TO BECOME INVESTMENT
BANKERS AND TAKE
COMPANIES TO MARKET THAT
HAD NO EARNINGS RECORD
OF ANY KIND.
IS THAT OVER?
YES.
I THINK SO.
I THINK IT'S -- LET ME
PUT IT TO YOU THIS WAY.
YOU HAVEN'T SEEN A WHOLE
LOT IN THE WAY OF NEW
IPO'S IN THE LAST SIX
MONTHS.
AT THIS POINT IF YOU
INVEST IN A COMPANY THAT
HAS NO TRACK RECORD,
SHAME ON YOU.
I MEAN, WE'VE KIND OF IN
THEORY ALL LEARNED OUR
LESSON THAT IN FACT
PROFITS DO MATTER AND
THAT LONG-TERM THE VALUE
OF A COMPANY IS REALLY
NOTHING MORE THAN THE
PRESENT FUEL PRESENT
FUEL AND FUTURE
SUSTAINED PROFIT.
I THINK IT'S OVER UNTIL
WE GET A NEW GENERATION
THAT DOESN'T REMEMBER
THE LATE 20TH CENTURY.
MAYOR GARCIA:
COUNCILMEMBER SLUSHER?
SLUSHER: THAT BRINGS
TO MIND THE BOOM/BUST
CYCLE.
DO YOU HAVE ANY IDEAS ON
HOW TO HAVE AUSTIN NOT
GO THROUGH THAT CYCLE
AGAIN?
WELL, I THINK IT
IS -- IN MY EXPERIENCE
IN AUSTIN, I'VE ONLY
BEEN HERE ABOUT 17
YEARS.
I'VE ONLY SEEN TWO BOOMS
AND BUSTS.
I'M SURE THERE HAVE BEEN
OTHERS IN PAST AND THERE
WILL BE IN THE FUTURE.
I THINK THERE IS THAT WE
CAN DO CERTAINLY AS A
CITY, I THINK THERE'S
LITTLE YOU CAN DO TO
KEEP THAT FROM
HAPPENING.
WHAT YOU HOPE IS PEOPLE
LEARN OVER TIME AND THAT
PEOPLE DO SORT OF GO
BACK TO THE FUNDAMENTALS
AND SAY LOOK, IT REALLY
IS WHAT WE WERE JUST
TALKING ABOUT, PROFITS
DO MATTER, ALL THAT
STUFF.
ONE OF THE THINGS THAT
YOU CAN DO CERTAINLY IS
TO SAY YOUR ECONOMIC
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
EXPLICITLY FOCUSES ON
COMPANIES THAT HAVE
TRACK RECORDS.
AND THAT YOU ARE WORKING
ON ALSO TO GROW
COMPANIES LOCALLY THAT
PRODUCE REAL THINGS.
BUT I THINK IT'S GOING
TO BE TOUGH --
UNFORTUNATELY SHS THIS
IS A COMMUNITY WITH SO
MANY NATURAL ADVANTAGES,
ENTHUSIASM HERE GETS
PRETTY HIGH.
AND I THINK IT'S GOING
TO BE DIFFICULT FOR THE
CITY TO CONTROL THAT IN
ANY WAY, SHAPE OR FORM,
EXCEPT TO REMIND PEOPLE,
HEY, BUSTS DO HAPPEN.
I'M AFRAID THAT'S NOT
MUCH OF AN ANSWER.
I DON'T HAVE A REAL GOOD
ANSWER FOR YOU ON THAT.
SLUSHER: THANK YOU,
THOUGH.
THAT'S INFORMATIVE.
MAYOR GARCIA:
COUNCILMEMBER ALVAREZ?
ALVAREZ: YES.
I JUST HAD A QUESTION
BECAUSE WE'RE FOCUSED ON
THE SALES TAX AS IT
RELATES TO JOB GROWTH.
AND THAT BEING I GUESS
ONE OF THE INDICATORS
THAT CLOSELY ALINES WITH
THE -- ALINES WITH THE
SALES TAX LEVEL.
I'M WONDERING WITH
TOURISM AND HOTEL AND
MOTEL OCCUPANCY AND
THOSE KIND OF ISSUES AND
HOW DO THEY FACTOR INTO
THE EQUATION?
IT IS GREAT FOR THE
AUSTIN SALES TAX BASE.
WHEN WE WERE WORKING ON
THE MUSIC STUDY HERE, WE
WERE KNOCKED OTHER BY
THE IMPACT OF THINGS,
FOR EXAMPLE, LIKE SOUTH
BY SOUTHWEST.
SO I THINK ONE OF THE
REASONS, FOR EXAMPLE,
WHY AUSTIN HAS A
RELATIVELY HIGH SALES
TAX REVENUE FOR A JOB IS
BECAUSE WE HAVE A PRETTY
STRONG TOURISM ECONOMY
HERE.
AND SO THAT KIND OF
BOUNCES UP THAT NUMBER
IN A WAY THAT I THINK IS
REAL POSITIVE.
OBVIOUSLY THE TOURISM
INDUSTRY HERE HAS BEEN
REALLY NEGATIVELY
AFFECTED BY THE EVENTS
OF SEPTEMBER 11TH.
THAT WILL COME BACK.
BUT FOR THIS FISCAL
YEAR, IT'S PRETTY DARN
TOUGH.
I THINK TOURISM IS
ACTUALLY SOMETHING
THAT'S A RELATIVE
STRENGTH FOR US IN THIS
COMMUNITY.
IT'S A STRENGTH IN THIS
REGION.
I HAVE LONG TIME THOUGHT
THAT THE TOURISM
OPPORTUNITY IN AUSTIN
AND SAN ANTONIO COMBINED
WERE JUST ABOUT AS GOOD
AS ANYWHERE IN THE
COUNTRY.
AND I ALWAYS THOUGHT IT
WOULD BE NEAT IF
SOMEWHERE DOWN THE ROAD
WE COULD MARKET OUR
SEFDZ AS A REGION AND --
OURSELVES AS A REGION
AND COME TO THE CENTRAL
TEXAS CORRIDOR.
MAYOR GARCIA: FURTHER
QUESTIONS?
THANKS VERY MUCH FOR
YOUR TIME.
APPRECIATE IT.
ALL RIGHT.
NOW WE'RE GOING TO TURN
IT OVER AND TRANSLATE
WHAT YOU'VE JUST HEARD
FROM JOHN INTO THE NEXT
COMPONENT OF OUR
DISCUSSION.
AND TO DO THAT WE HAVE
SOMETHING I THINK WE'RE
ABOUT TO PASS OUT TO
EVERYBODY.
RUDY?
MAYOR AND COUNCIL,
IT'S PRETTY CLEAR THAT
MOST OF THESE UPDATES
COME WITH SIDE EFFECTS
AND SYMPTOMS.
AND SO BEFORE WE GET
STARTED, WE WANT TO GIVE
YOU SOME REMEDIES FOR
SOME OF THE SYMPTOMS YOU
MAY BE EXPERIENCING.
SO I'M GOING TO GIVE
EACH OF Y'ALL SOME
TYLENOL AND ICE CREAM
WHILE WE TALK ABOUT OUR
UPDATES.
[ LAUGHTER ]
NOW, WE'RE PASSING
OUT THE TYLENOL AND ICE
CREAM.
WE DON'T WANT YOU TO
THINK THIS IS TOO BITTER
A PILL.
[ LAUGHTER ]
WE WANT THE TO SMOOTH
THE WAY FOR THIS VERY
TOUGH DISCUSSION.
RUDY SAID IN KEEPING
IN LINE WITH THE TIGHT
BUDGET HE LOOKED FOR THE
HILL COUNTRY BRAND, BUT
HE COULD ONLY FIND BLUE
BELL.
WE WERE TRYING TO BUY
LOCALLY.
I'M GETTING DOUBLE
ASPIRIN AND NO ICE
CREAM.
[ LAUGHTER ]
WHAT WE'RE GOING TO BE
DOING IS RUDY IS GOING
TO BE TELLING YOU NOW
WHAT OUR LATEST SALES
TAX NUMBER IS AND THEN
WE'RE GOING TO WORK YOU
THROUGH TO WHAT OUR NEW
FORECAST IS FOR THE YEAR
AND HOW WE INTEND TO
HANDLE IT.
THEN WE'RE GOING TO MOVE
ON SCBOO A DISCUSSION
OWE INTO A DISCUSSION OF
THE BUDGET TOOLS,
INCLUDING OUR REVENUE
INITIATIVE AND OUR CORE
SERVICE ANALYSIS.
BUT FIRST, LET'S START
WITH OUR MOST CRITICAL
DILEMMA.
I'M GOING TO START
OFF, MAYOR AND COUNCIL,
WITH JUST KIND OF A
RENEW OF WHERE WE
STARTED THE YEAR AND
WHAT KIND OF ACTIONS
WE'VE TAKEN.
I WANT TO START WAY BACK
ON THE PROPOSED BUDGET.
WHEN WE SUBMITTED THE
PROPOSED BUDGET BACK IN
JULY OR LATE JULY, EARLY
AUGUST, AT THAT TIME?c FOR
THE FIRST EIGHT MONTHS
OF THE FISCAL YEAR OF
'01, ACTUALLY SALES TAX
GROWTH WAS AT THREE AND
A HALF PERCENT.
HOWEVER, KNOWING THAT
THE ECONOMY WAS SOMEWHAT
UNSTABLE AT THAT TIME,
WE SUBMITTED A PROPOSED
BUDGET WITH SALES TAX
GROWTH OF TWO PERCENT.
AND WHAT HAPPENED AFTER
THAT WAS A SIGNIFICANT
DECLINE IN THE LAST FOUR
MONTHS OF THE FISCAL
YEAR, ACTUALLY THE LAST
FOUR MONTHS OF FISCAL
YEAR?c '01 DECLINED AT A
RIGHT OF 3.9%.
WHAT THAT DID?c TO US, IT
REQUIRED A GROWTH RATE
OF 3.2% IN THE SALES TAX
NUMBER TO MEET THE
APPROVED BUDGETED
REVENUE.
AND THAT'S IMPORTANT.
I THINK THERE'S BEEN
SOME CONFUSION ON -- I
BELIEVE MAYBE A RECENT
ARTICLE STATED WE WERE
OVERLY OPTIMISTIC.
CLEARLY NOBODY COULD
HAVE ANTICIPATED WHAT
HAPPENED SEPTEMBER 11TH.
IF YOU RECALL, WE
APPROVED THE BUDGET
SEPTEMBER 11TH.
AND THOSE ARE THE
FACTORS THAT LED TO OUR?c
PROJECTED GROWTH OF
3.2%.
HOWEVER, KNOWING AND
REALIZING WHAT HAD
HAPPENED TO THE ECONOMY,
WE QUICKLY AND EVEN
BEFORE THE FISCAL YEAR
BEGAN, BEGAN TO LOOK AT
HOW DO WE REVISE OUR
PROJECTION, WHAT KIND OF
INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE
TO US?
AND THE DIFFICULTY, AS
YOU CAN RECALL THINKING
BACK DURING THAT TIME
FRAME, THERE WAS SO MUCH
DISAGREEMENT NATIONWIDE
AND EVEN IN THE LOCAL
AREA ON WHAT'S HAPPENING
TO THE ECONOMY.
IS IT REALLY DROPPING?
IS IT JUST A FLUKE FOR A
MONTH OR TWO AND THEN
WE'RE GOING TO BE RIGHT
BACK?
SO IT WAS DIFFICULT TO
GAUGE EXACTLY AND
SCIENTIFICALLY WHAT THE
REVISED SALES TAX
PROJECTIONS SHOULD BE.
HOWEVER, AT THAT TIME
BASED ON THE INFORMATION
WE HAD, WE DID REDUCE
OUR SALES TAX PROJECTION
TO .88, SLIGHTLY UNDER
ONE PERCENT.
THAT RESULTED IN A
REVENUE LOSS --
PROJECTED REVENUE LOSS
OF 2.WILL MILLION
DOLLARS.
-- 2.WILL MILLION
DOLLARS.
IF YOU RECALL, WE
FUNDED
THAT SHORTFALL IN
FEBRUARY THROUGH THE
REVENUE AND TAX
ANTICIPATION NOTE.
WHAT HAS HAPPENED FOR
THE FIRST FIVE MONTHS,
THE FIRST FIVE MONTHS ON
AN AVERAGE HAVE DECLINED
6.35%.
AND YOU CAN SEE THERE WE
HAVE HAD FIVE
CONSECUTIVE MONTHS OF
NEGATIVE GROWTH.
MOST RECENTLY THE APRIL
PAYMENT, A NEGATIVE 10%,
VERY SIGNIFICANT.
IF YOU CONSIDER THE
IMPACT OF SEPTEMBER 11TH
AND THE SEPTEMBER
PAYMENT, WE'VE NOW
EXPERIENCED SIX SCOOTD
ACTIVE MONTHS OF
NEGATIVE -- CONSECUTIVE
MONTHS OF NEGATIVE
GROWTH.
WHEN WE REVISED OUR
PROJECTION DOWN TO UNDER
ONE PERCENT, AT THAT
TIME WE HAD ESTIMATED
THAT THE REVENUE LOSS
WOULD BE APPROXIMATELY
2.8 MILLION FOR THE
YEAR.
ING AT WHERE WE ARE FOR
THE FIRST FIVE MONTHS,
WE HAVE ALREADY LOST --
WE'RE FORECASTED TO LOSE
4.9 MILLION ON AN
ANALYZED BASIS.
SO CLEARLY BASED ON THE
RECENT -- BASED ON THIS
FIVE-MONTH ACTIVITY AND
BASED ON WHERE WE'RE AT
AND WHAT WE SEE, WE MUST
REVISE OUR SALES TAX
ESTIMATES.
AND TO DO THAT THERE'S
SEVERAL FACTORS THAT WE
CONSIDER.
FOUR OF THOSE ARE WORK
REAL CLOSELY WITH JOHN
AND JUST REVIEW ALL THE
INFORMATION THAT'S?c
AVAILABLE TO US TO
ANALYZE AND ASSESS
ECONOMIC DATE CATERS,
ANY UPDATED FORECAST FOR
THE ECONOMY.
SECONDLY, IT'S REALLY
IMPORTANT THAT WE TAKE A
REAL CLOSE LOOK AT THESE
FIVE MONTHS.
MAYBE THESE LAST SIX
MONTHS OF NEGATIVE
DECLINE AND BE CERTAIN
ON THE FACTORS THAT ARE
IMPACTING?c THAT, BECAUSE
WHILE WE WANT TO PROVIDE
YOU WITH A REALISTIC,
OUR?c BEST REALISTIC
SFIMENT ESTIMATE, WE
DON'T WANT TO READ TOO
MUCH INTO THE NUMBERS
AND CONSIDER SOME OTHER
FACTORS.
FACTORS SUCH AS THE
SECOND HALF OF THE LAST
FISCAL YEAR.
THE LAST SEVEN MONTHS OF
FISCAL YEAR '01 AVERAGED
A DECLINE OF NEGATIVE
1.WILL%, INCLUDING A
VERY SIGNIFICANT LOSS IN
SEPTEMBER OF NEGATIVE
12.7%.
HOPING THAT NOTHING
EXTRAORDINARY HAPPENS,
WE DON'T BELIEVE THAT
WE'LL BE BACK AT THAT
LEVEL.
WE WON'T MIRROR THAT
LEVEL AT THE END OF THIS
FISCAL YEAR.
AND FINALLY, IT'S ALSO
VERY IMPORTANT THAT WE
LOOK AT OURSELVES IN
COMPARISON TO THE OTHER
MAJOR CITIES.
ARE WE ISOLATED OR IS
THE ECONOMY IMPACTING
EVERYONE?
YOU CAN SEE THERE ON
THROUGH THE FIRST FIVE
MONTHS, COMPARING THE
SAME FIVE MONTHS FOR THE
MAJOR CITIES IN TEXAS,
CLEARLY THE ECONOMIC
SLOWDOWN HAS IMPACTED
EVERYONE.
AND SALES TAX REVENUE IN
AUSTIN HAS HAD A VERY
SIGNIFICANT IMPACT.
I GUESS ONLY TOPPED OFF
BY THE CITY OF DALLAS,
WHO IS EXPERIENCING A
MORE?c SIGNIFICANT LOSS
THAN WE ARE AT NEGATIVE
7.7.
AND INTERESTINGLY
ENOUGH, AND JOHN TALKED
ABOUT IT EARLIER, DURING
THE BOOM OF THE ECONOMY
IN THE '90'S, ESPECIALLY
IN THE HIGH-TECH AREA,
THE CITY OF AUSTIN SALES
TAX REVENUES WERE JUST
TREMENDOUS AND WE
SURPASSED BY LEAPS AND
BOUNDS MOST EVERY OTHER
CITY IN TEXAS.
AND BASICALLY THE EXACT
THING IS HAPPENING TO US
ON A NEGATIVE DECLINE.
WE ARE DECLINING VERY
FAST.
AGAIN, BASED ON THE
IMPACT OF THE HIGH-TECH
INDUSTRY.
JUST TO KIND OF RECAP
FOR YOU WHAT SOME OF THE
OTHER CITIES ARE GOING
DOING, IF YOU RECALL,
THE CITY OF DALLAS HAS
ELIMINATED SEVERAL
POSITIONS, INCLUDING THE
LAYOFF OF 70 ACTUAL
EMPLOYEES.
THE CITY OF ARLINGTON
JUST ON MONDAY LAID OFF
23 EMPLOYEES.
LET ME GO BACK TO
DALLAS.
WE TALKED TO DALLAS JUST
YESTERDAY.
WE ARE ABOUT TO ANNOUNCE
POTENTIAL FURTHER
LAYOFFS TO WHAT THEY'VE
ALREADY?c DONE.
AND LOOKING AT FORT
WORTH AND SAN ANTONIO,
THEY'RE VIRTUALLY FLAT,
BUT THEY DO HAVE
POSITIVE GROWTH, BUT
THEY ARE BEHIND THEIR
APPROVED ESTIMATES.
SAN ANTONIO'S CURRENTLY
AT 1.1%.
THEY ESTIMATED THEY
WOULD BE AT FIVE
PERCENT.
FORT WORTH IS CURRENTLY
AT 1.3.
THEY ESTIMATED THAT THEY
WOULD BE AT ALMOST THREE
PERCENT.
SO CLEARLY THE CITY OF
AUSTIN IS NOT ALONE IN
HAVING TO ADDRESS THESE
FINANCIAL ISSUES.
THE CITY OF HOUSTON IS
ACTUALLY AT THIS POINT
VERY CLOSE TO THIS AND
THEY ESTIMATED ABOUT
FIVE PERCENT.
SO THEY ARE DOING GOOD
AS FAR AS COMPARED TO
THEIR SALES TAX
ESTIMATE.
HERE, THIS LINE
BASICALLY SHOWS YOU THE
ACTUAL ACTIVITY FOR EACH
OF THE MAJOR CITIES ON A
MONTHLY BASIS.
AND YOU CAN SEE HERE
THAT THE NEGATIVE 10%?c
EXPERIENCED FOR THE CITY
OF AUSTIN WAS THE
WEAKEST OF ALL THE MAJOR
CITIES.
HOWEVER, IT'S IMPORTANT
TO KNOW THAT DALLAS,
FORT WORTH AND
SAN ANTONIO ALSO
EXPERIENCED NEGATIVE
GROWTH.
AND HOUSTON, WHILE IT
WAS A POSITIVE NUMBER,
ITFINITELY LOWER THAN
WHAT THEY HAD
EXPERIENCED DURING THE
PREVIOUS FOUR MONTHS.
[ONE MOMENT, PLEASE,
WHILE CAPTION]
I KNOW HOME DEPOT GETS A
LOT OF MY MONEY.
SO
THEY ARE ABOUT 4%, 5%
POSITIVE FOR THE FIRST FIVE
MONTHS, HOWEVER IT'S BEEN
REALLY UNSTABLE.
THEY HAVE GONE FROM A HIGH
OF ABOUT 26% POSITIVE TO A
LOW OF ABOUT 25% NEGATIVE.
SO IT'S BEEN REALLY UNSTABLE
FOR SUNSET VALLEY.
IN THE END AT THIS POINT FOR
THE FIVE MONTHS THEY ARE
POSITIVE.
WEST LAKE HILLS, ON THE
OTHER HAND, IS NEGATIVE.
FOR THE FIRST FIVE MONTHS
THEY ARE NEGATIVE.
SO WHERE DO WE GO WITH YOUR
UPDATED FORECAST?
IT CLEARLY WE ARE NOT GOING
TO MAKE OUR REVISED
PROJECTION THAT WE PROVIDED
YOU IN DECEMBER.
TO DO THAT WOULD REQUIRE
THAT THE LAST SEVEN MONTHS
GROW AT AN AVERAGE OF 6%
POSITIVE.
YOU CAN SEE FROM THE
INFORMATION FROM JOHN, YOU
CAN SEE FROM THE INFORMATION
THAT I HAVE SHOWN YOU, WE
ARE NOT GOING TO MEET -- WE
ARE NOT GOING TO MAKE 6%
EACH MONTH FOR THE NEXT
SEVEN MONTHS.
WHAT WE ARE -- WHAT WE DO
BELIEVE WILL HAPPEN FOR THE
LAST SEVEN MONTHS OF THIS
FISCAL YEAR IS THAT WE WILL
AVERAGE SLIGHTLY UNDER 1% AT
A NEGATIVE .6% ON AN
AVERAGE.
THAT AVERAGE, THOUGH, IS --
IS A NET RESULT OF -- OF
CONTINUING TO PROJECT SOME
NEGATIVE GROWTH FOR THE NEXT
TWO TO THREE MONTHS, WILL
START TO FLATTEN OUT BY NEAR
THE END OF THE FISCAL YEAR
AND THE BY -- BY THE END OF
THE FISCAL YEAR, WE DO
BELIEVE THAT WE WILL START
SEEING SOME POSITIVES.
SO THE AVERAGE OF THAT IS
.6% NEGATIVE.
WHAT DOES DOES TO US ON AN
ANNUAL BASIS, IT TAKES US TO
AN ANNUAL FORECAST OF A
NEGATIVE 3%.
WHAT DOES THAT MEAN ON A
SALES TAX REVENUE BASIS?
THAT MEANS COMPARED TO THE
APPROVED BUDGET, WE ARE
GOING TO LOSE OR PROJECT TO
LOSE 7.6 MILLION DOLLARS
FROM THEIR APPROVED SALES
TAX REVENUE.
AND IF YOU RECALL, AS
PREVIOUSLY STATED, WE
COVERED OR FUNDED 2.-- 2
MILLION OF THAT THROUGH THE
REVENUES OF THE TAX
ANTICIPATION NOTE, LEAVING
US WITH ADDITIONAL SALES TAX
REVENUE LOSS, WHICH WE NEED
TO IDENTIFY FUNDING FOR, OF
4.8 MILLION.
CLEARLY WE ARE -- WE ARE
POSITIONED AT THIS POINT
THAT WE HAVE TO IMPLEMENT
FURTHER BUDGET REDUCTIONS TO
PROVIDE THE FUNDING OR -- OR
SAVINGS TO COME -- TO COVER
THAT 4.8 MILLION DOLLARS
LOSS.
WE ARE -- WHAT WE ARE DOING,
WE IMPLEMENTED AN IMMEDIATE
HIRING FREEZE OF THE
REMAINING 75% VACANT
POSITIONS IN THE GENERAL
FUND AND IN THE SUPPORT
SERVICE FUND DEPOSITS.
IF YOU RECALL, THIS IS IN
ADDITION TO THE PREVIOUS
HIRING FREEZE THAT WE HAD
IDENTIFIED FOR YOU AS PART
OF OUR SAVINGS PLAN AS WE
POSITION OURSELVES GOING
INTO FISCAL YEAR '03.
EARLY ON IN THE BUDGET
PROCESS, IN ADDITION TO THE
HIRING FREEZE, SOME OF THE
OTHER ITEMS THAT WE HAVE
TALKED TO YOU BEFORE ABOUT
CAPITAL SPENDING, TRAVEL
RESTRICTIONS, WE'VE HAD A
VERY COMPREHENSIVE HIRING
REVIEW PROCESS TO ENSURE
THAT WE ARE FILLING THOSE
CRITICAL POSITIONS.
HAS THAT HAS DONE FOR US, IT
HAS PROVIDED US THIS
FLEXIBILITY.
THAT'S IMPORTANT TO NOTE,
ESPECIALLY WHEN YOU CONSIDER
WHAT SOME OF THE OTHER
CITIES ARE HAVING TO DO,
ACTUALLY HAVING THEIR
EMPLOYEES HAVE TO GO HOME
AND TELL THEIR FAMILIES THAT
THEY NO LONGER HAVE A JOB
WITH THE CITY.
I THINK WE HAVE BEEN
FORTUNATE THAT WE HAVE GOT
THAT FLEXIBILITY AND WE HAVE
NOT HAD -- WE HAVE DONE THAT
WITH -- WITH NOT REDUCING
ANY BASIC SERVICES.
NOT CUTTING ANY MAJOR
PROGRAMS.
HOWEVER, AT THIS POINT, WE
ARE EVALUATING WHAT KIND OF
IMPACT THAT WILL HAVE TO
SERVICE LEVELS.
CLEARLY THE CITY EMPLOYEES
AS HAVE ALWAYS BEEN ARE VERY
DEDICATED AND COMMITTED TO
THEIR WORK.
BUT HAVING TO DO THE SAME
SERVICES, WITH A POSSIBLY
10% LESS WORKFORCE, IS
DIFFICULT.
AND I -- I BELIEVE THAT IT'S
IMPORTANT THAT WE ASSESS
THAT IMPACT AND THAT'S WHY
WE LEFT THE 25% OF THOSE
POSITIONS AVAILABLE FOR THE
FLEXIBILITY TO -- FOR THE
CITY MANAGER TO FILL THOSE
POSITIONS THAT ARE CRITICAL
TO ENSURE THAT WE DON'T
COMPROMISE BASIC SERVICES.
THIS ACTION WILL GENERATE
APPROXIMATELY $4 MILLION.
RUDY, OF THE -- DO WE
HAVE A BREAKDOWN AS TO WHAT
DEPARTMENTS THESE FROZEN
POSITIONS ARE IN.
YES, SIR.
WE CAN FOLLOW UP WITH THAT.
WE CAN SEND THAT TO YOUR
OFFICES.
WYNN: THANK YOU.
CLEARLY AT THIS POINT,
IT'S -- IT'S EVERY
DEPARTMENT IS BEING
IMPACTED.
FUTRELL: I THINK THAT'S
THE IMPORTANT PIECE.
THERE IS, WITHOUT A DOUBT,
EVERY DEPARTMENT IS BEING
IMPACTED BY THIS.
THERE IS SOME SMALL
CLUSTERING OF SOME OF THE
NUMBERS, BUT IT IS SPREAD
OUT OVER ALL OF THE
DEPARTMENTS.
I WILL EMPHASIZE SO THAT
THERE WILL BE NO CONFUSION,
THIS DOES NOT INCLUDE ANY OF
THE SWORN POSITIONS IN FIRE,
ANY OF THE PUBLIC SAFETY
DEPARTMENTS, INCLUDING
PARAMEDICS AND E.M.S.
FUTRELL: THAT'S YOUR
FIRST RESPONDERS IN THOSE
DEPARTMENTS.
CIVILIANS IN THOSE
DEPARTMENTS ARE PART OF
THIS.
AND ADDITIONAL $800,000
THAT WE NEEDED TO IDENTIFY
WE ARE ABLE TO IDENTIFY
FUNDING AND C.I.P. PROJECT.
ONE PROJECT THAT HAS BEEN
PLEATED AND HAD SOME
AVAILABLE FUNDING REMAINING.
ANOTHER PROJECT THAT IS IN
CONSTRUCTION AND HAS BEEN
FULLY FUNDED.
SO THAT -- THAT PROVIDES US
THE 4.8 MILLION DOLLARS THAT
WE WILL NEED TO SET ASIDE OR
NOT -- BASICALLY BUDGET
REDUCTIONS TO COVER THE 4.8
MILLION DOLLAR LOSS IN
REVENUE.
FORECAST LOSS.
FROM LOOKING FORWARD, IT'S
CLEAR THAT WE WILL HAVE TO
WORK CLOSELY WITH -- WITH
ALL OF OUR STAFF, WORKING
WITH JOHN HAUKENOSE AND
OTHER FOLKS TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE ECONOMY, CLOSELY
MONITOR THE SALES TAX
ACTIVITY AND AS WE HAVE
COMMITTED TO YOU EARLY ON IN
THE FISCAL YEAR, IT'S
IMPORTANT THAT WE KEEP YOU
UPDATED ON A MONTHLY BASIS
ON WHAT'S HAPPENING WITH NOT
ONLY THE ECONOMY, BUT WHAT'S
HAPPENING SPECIFICALLY WITH
OUR SALES TAX SO THAT WE
KNOW WHERE WE STAND AS
COMPARED TO THIS -- AT THIS
POINT THE REVISED
PROJECTION.
TO DO THAT, I THINK THE
RESPONSIBLE THING TO DO IS
THAT WE MAINTAIN THOSE TIGHT
EXPENDITURE CONTROLS THAT WE
HAVE PUT IN PLACE MUCH AGAIN
EVEN BEFORE THE FISCAL YEAR
STARTED.
WE STARTED EARLY ON IN
VARIOUS COST CONTROL
MEASURES.
IT'S IMPORTANT THAT WE KEEP
THOSE IN PLACE TO CONTINUE
THE -- TO POSITION US FOR
ANY UNFORESEEN FURTHER
UNFORESEEN REVENUE LOSSES OR
ANY UNFORESEEN OR UNBUDGETED
EXPENDITURES.
HOWEVER, I WILL NOTE, AND --
AT THIS POINT, IT WILL BE
MORE -- MUCH MORE DIFFICULT
TO ABSORB ANY FURTHER
SIGNIFICANT LOSSES IN
REVENUE OR FUNDING OF ANY
UNBUDGETED EXPENDITURES.
ALSO LOOKING FORWARD TO THE
FIVE YEAR FORECAST, WHICH WE
WILL -- AT THIS POINT
SCHEDULED TO SUBMIT TO
COUNCIL THE EARLY PART OF
MAY, IT'S IMPORTANT THAT WE
PROVIDE YOU A VERY
CONCERTED, VERY REALISTIC
AND REASONABLE SALES TAX
ESTIMATE.
SO WE WILL LOOK FORWARD TO
DOING THAT.
MAYOR AND COUNCIL, THAT
BASICALLY COMPLETES MY -- MY
UPDATE ON THE SALES TAX.
FUTRELL: BEFORE WE MOVE
INTO THE REST OF OUR
PRESENTATION AND I WILL DO A
LITTLE SEGUE, THIS DOES END
THE SALES TAX COMPONENTS.
SO WE HAVE TRIED TO GIVE YOU
A NATIONAL OUTLOOK, A LOCAL
OUTLOOK, HOW WE HAVE
TRANSLATED THAT INTO OUR
REVISED SALES TAX FORECAST,
WHAT WE BELIEVE OUR NEW GAP
IS WHICH IS 4.8 MILLION
DOLLARS, AND A WAY WE INTEND
TO CLOSE THAT THIS YEAR WITH
NO -- NO PROGRAM
ELIMINATIONS AND NO LAYOFFS.
ONE OF... OF THE NEW MAJOR CITIES
IN TEXAS THAT'S BEEN ABLE TO
DO THAT TO DATE.
BUT I DO NOT WANT YOU TO
THINK THAT THIS FREEZE OF
75% OF OUR CURRENT VACANCIES
IS WITHOUT AN OPERATIONAL
IMPACT BECAUSE IT IS.
WE WILL BE IMPACTING THE
QUALITY AND CONTENT OF OUR
PROGRAMS AND OUR SERVICES
WITH THIS CUT.
WE CAN KEEP THEM IN PLACE.
AND WE WILL BE MONITORING
THAT OPERATIONAL IMPACT.
THAT'S ONE OF THE REASONS
THAT WE HAVE LEFT THE 25%
OPEN FOR HIGHER, SO THAT WE
CAN JUDICIOUSLY DECIDE WHAT
OPERATIONS ARE MOST
CRITICALLY IMPACTED AND HOW
TO FILL AND SHIFT POSITIONS
THERE.
BUT AT THIS POINT, WE ARE NO
LONGER CUTTING AROUND THE
EDGES.
WE ARE IMPACTING SERVICES
THAT WE ARE PROVIDING.
MAYOR GARCIA: LET ME SEE
IF THERE'S SOME QUESTIONS,
COUNCILMEMBER WYNN?
WYNN: THANK YOU, MAYBE.
RUDY, AT THE END OF
MR. HAUKENOSE'S
PRESENTATION, HIS MOST
LIKELY SALES TAX FIGURE OF
118 MILLION DOLLARS IF I
READ THAT CORRECTLY.
IT SEEMS LIKE, LOOKS LIKE IF
I AM READING YOUR CHARTS
CORRECTLY, YOU WERE SHOWING
THAT WE ARE COMING IN, AT A
$4.8 MILLION SHORT OF -- OF
OUR REVISED FIGURE OF $124
MILLION.
SEEMS TO ME THAT WE ARE
SAYING 120, MR. HAUKENOSE IS
SAYING 118.
THAT'S FAIRLY CLOSE.
WE ARE -- I AM -- I HAVE NOT
HAD A CHANCE TO WORK CLOSELY
WITH JOHN ON EXACTLY THE
CALIFORNIAATIONS, HOWEVER --
CALCULATIONS, HIS MOST
LIKELY ESTIMATE IS NEGATIVE
2%, WE ARE SLIGHTLY MORE
CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATING A
NEGATIVE 3%.
YEAH, IT'S POSSIBLE.
I MEAN, MINE IS 2.6 SPEAKERS
DOWN FROM THE BASE THAT I
WAS LOOKING AT WAS ABOUT 121
MILLION.
WHAT WE MAY BE GETTING INTO
IS THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN
WHAT ACTUALLY HAPPENED
VERSUS APPROVED BUDGETS, ET
CETERA, ET CETERA.
THAT TYPE OF THING.
THE KEY REALLY, HONESTLY, IS
THAT IT -- I SAID I THINK
IT'S GOING TO GO DOWN ABOUT
2.6% AND THE RESPONSE FROM
STAFF WAS ESSENTIALLY WAS 3
IS A MORE CONSERVATIVE
APPROACH.
OKAY.
A QUICK QUESTION, THIS
FOCUSES ON SALES TAX.
HAVE WE SEEN ANY REVENUE
CHANGES IN THE OTHER INCOME
SOURCES.
MAYOR, AT THIS POINT WE
ARE ALMOST WRAPPING YOU UP
OUR FIVE YEAR FORECAST.
SOME OF THE AREAS THAT --
THAT WE ARE LOOKING CLOSELY
AT AND I CAN'T TELL YOU AT
THIS POINT WHETHER WE ARE
GOING TO FORECAST ANY
LOSSES, BUT DEFINITELY
THERE'S BEEN AN IMPACT ON
DEVELOPMENT FEES.
AND WE ARE TRYING TO
FINALIZE THAT TO SEE WHAT
THE FUTURE HOLDS AND HOW WE
THINK WE WILL END UP.
BUT THAT IS AN AREA OF
CONCERN AT THIS POINT.
FUTRELL: THAT WILL
ACTUALLY BE A PART OF THE
PRESENTATION ONCE WE GET TO
THE NEXT STEPS THAT WE WILL
HAVE READY FOR YOU MAY 8TH.
MAYOR GARCIA: SO PROPERTY
TAXES AND -- FORECLOSURES,
THOSE THINGS, HAVE NOT
HAD --
RIGHT.
OUR MAJOR REVENUES ARE
BASICALLY HOLDING PRETTY
STRONG AT THIS POINT.
MAYOR GARCIA: FURTHER
QUESTIONS ON THE
PRESENTATION BY MR. GARZA?
OKAY, CITY MANAGER.
FUTRELL: ALL RIGHT.
SO JOHN I KNOW THAT YOU HAVE
ANOTHER EVENT TO GET TO.
MORE GOOD NEWS I'M SURE THAT
YOU ARE SPREADING TO CENTRAL
TEXAS.
INDEED, SHARE UP AND DOWN
I-35 IS WHAT I AM DOING
TODAY.
FUTRELL: WE ARE THINKING
ABOUT GIVING YOU A POLICE
ESCORT, ACTUALLY.
BUT THANK YOU AND I DO KNOW
THAT YOU NEED TO LEAVE.
I GUESS COUNCIL, THE BOTTOM
LINE, THAT'S WHY WE GAVE YOU
ASPIRIN AND ICE CREAM.
YOU HAVE HEARD THE SOBERING
SALES TASK FORCE FOR THE
REST OF THIS FISCAL YEAR.
WE HAVE UNVEILED OUR
STRATEGY FOR ENCLOSING THAT
ADDITIONAL PROJECTED GAP OF
4.8 MILLION.
WE DID TAKE WHAT WE ARE
HOPING IS A WORST CASE SO
THAT BY THE END OF THE YEAR
THERE ARE -- WE ARE HOPING
THERE ARE NO MORE SURPRISE,
WE ARE COVERED TO BALANCE US
BY THE END OF THE YEAR.
BUT THERE ARE MORE TOUGH
DECISIONS AHEAD.
WE HAVE PROACTIVELY WORKED
TO CLOSE THE PROJECTED SALES
TAX REVENUE LOSS, NOW A
TOTAL FROM BUDGET, OF 7.6
FROM OUR APPROVED BUDGET
WITHOUT ELIMINATING PROGRAMS
AND WITHOUT EMPLOYEE
LAYOFFS.
BUT I WANT YOU TO KNOW THAT
WE ARE OPERATING CLOSE TO
THE BONE NOW.
THAT IS IMPORTANT, BECAUSE
AS WE HEAD INTO OUR BUDGET
DECISIONS FROM NEXT YEAR, IT
IS INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT
FOR US TO NIBBLE AROUND THE
EDGES, TO CUT AROUND THE
MARGIN, BECAUSE WE HAVE
ALREADY DONE SO MUCH OF THAT
TO KEEP US IN BALANCE THIS
YEAR.
SOP OPPORTUNITIES -- SO
OPPORTUNITIES FOR PAINLESSLY
CUTTING AROUND THE EDGES ARE
GONE.
TODAY'S PRESENTATION IS
DESIGNED TO BEGIN LAYING OUT
THE DIFFERENT TOOLS FOR
DIFFICULT DECISION MAKING IN
BALANCING OUR BUDGET FOR
NEXT YEAR.
I WANT TO GIVE YOU SEE SIX
STRATEGIES THAT WE ARE
WORKING ON.
WE ARE GOING TO TALK ABOUT
TWO OF THOSE WITH YOU TODAY.
ONE IS AN EVALUATION OF A
REVENUE OPPORTUNITIES.
THIS IS WHAT RUDY IS GOING
TO TALK TO YOU ABOUT NEXT IN
MORE DETAIL.
THAT INCLUDES THE
APPROPRIATENESS OF OUR
CURRENT FEES AND FINES.
AND IN MANY CASES SOME OF
THOSE HAVE NOT BEEN LOOKED
AT FOR DECADES.
AND WE HAVE NEVER HAD IN
PLACE SOMETHING THAT
SYSTEMATICALLY TALKS ABOUT
AN INDEX OR INCREASE TO
THOSE FEES AND FINES.
TWO, WE ARE GOING TO SHARE
WITH YOU A PRELIMINARY LOOK
AT OUR CORE SEVEN...... -- CORE SERVICE
ANALYSIS.
CRICK KEY WILL BE PRESENTING
THIS, TALKING ABOUT BOTH THE
METHODOLOGY AND PRELIMINARY
FINDINGS OF THIS ANALYSIS.
THEN OTHER THINGS THAT WE
ARE DOING QUICKLY: ALL
DEPARTMENT DIRECTORS HAVE
BEEN CHARGED WITH LOOKING
FOR OPERATIONAL PROCESS
IMPROVEMENTS.
HOW CAN WE DO MORE WITH
LESS.
HOW CAN WE BE MORE
EFFICIENT.
WE HAVE A CITY-WIDE
ADMINISTRATIVE AS MUCH AS
REVIEW UNDERWAY.
LOOKING AT OUR SUPPORT
SERVICES, LOOKING FOR WAYS
TO STREAMLINE THOSE SUPPORT
SERVICES.
WE ARE FINE-TUNING OUR
PERFORMANCE MEASURE SYSTEM.
AS PART OF OUR OVERALL
MANAGING FOR RESULTS
INITIATIVE.
IT'S PARTICULARLY IMPORTANT
WHEN YOU ARE IN CUTBACK,
WHEN YOU ARE TRYING TO DO
MORE WITH LESS, THAT YOU
KNOW HOW TO GAUGE THE EFFECT
ON YOUR SERVICES.
BOTH QUALITY AND QUANTITY OF
SERVICES PROVIDED.
AND FINALLY, I THINK NOW
MORE THAN EVER, A VERY
CAREFUL ANALYSIS, A CAREFUL
REVIEW OF OUR CITIZENS
SURVEY.
LISTENING TO OUR CUSTOMERS
AS WE GO THROUGH THIS IS
GOING TO BE IMPORTANT.
SO BOTTOM LINE, WHAT ARE WE
HOPING TO ACCOMPLISH?
TO POSITION OURSELVES FOR
CONTINUED STRONG GOVERNMENT
IN THE FUTURE.
TWO, TO AVOID THE MISTAKES
OF A PAST, A DECADE AGO.
WHERE WE MADE -- WHERE IT IS
EASY SOMETIMES TO MAKE THE
SHORT-TERM CUTS THAT HAVE
LONG-TERM RAMIFICATIONS AND
A CLASSIC EXAMPLE OF THAT IS
IT IS ALWAYS EASY TO CUT
MAINTENANCE OF YOUR PHYSICAL
PLANT.
BUT WITH THAT COMES A HIGHER
COST IN THE LONG RUN FOR NOT
HAVING KEPT UP YOUR PHYSICAL
PLANT.
ANOTHER EXAMPLE IS
SUPERVISOR TRAINING.
TRAINING IS SOMETHING MOST
ORGANIZATIONS CUT VERY
QUICKLY.
IN HARD TIMES.
THE IMPACT OF CUTTING BACK
ON SUPERVISORY TRAINING CAN
LEAD US TO ENORMOUS
PERSONNEL AND EMPLOYEE
RELATION ISSUES DOWN THE
ROAD.
SO WE ARE TRYING TO TAKE A
LONG-TERM APPROACH TO HOW WE
ARE BALANCING THIS BUDGET.
AND FINALLY, JUST TO MANAGE
THE BUDGETARY PRESSURES
DURING THE ECONOMIC
DOWNTURN, TO PROVIDE YOU A
STRUCTURED PROCESS FOR
BALANCING THE BUDGET.
AFTER TODAY, WHEN WE TALK
ABOUT REVENUE INITIATIVE,
WHEN WE TALK ABOUT CORE
SERVICE ANALYSIS, THE NEXT
STEPS, WE WILL REPEAT THIS
AGAIN AT THE END OF THE
PRESENTATION, MAY 8TH YOU
GET YOUR FIVE YEAR FORECAST.
THAT'S WHERE OUR GAP IS
DEFINED WITH THE BEST
INFORMATION THAT WE HAVE TO
DATE.
YOUR TARGET.
MAY 15TH AND MAY 22ND, WE
ARE SCHEDULING TWO FULL-DAY
COUNCIL BUDGET WORK
SESSIONS.
THE GOAL HERE IS TO THE
FRONT END TO GET DIRECTION
FROM THE COUNCIL ON THE
BUDGET PARAMETERS.
HOW WE GO ABOUT -- ABOUT
CLOSING THAT GAP.
NOW, RUDY WILL TAKE IT FROM
HERE AND DESCRIBE JUST
BRIEFLY ONE OF THESE KEY
STRATEGIES OR REVENUE
INITIATIVES.
LET ME SAY A FEW WORDS TO
THE COUNCIL ON THIS.
TRADITIONALLY, THE BUDGET
PROCESS STARTED OUT WITH THE
ISSUANCE OF THE POLICY
BUDGET.
WHEN I TOLD THE CITY MANAGER
IS THAT I WANT TO CONSIDER
CHANGING THAT PROCESS
SLIGHTLY, TO HAVE THE
COUNCIL GIVE THE DIRECTIONS
ON WHAT WE WANT IN THE
BUDGET.
THE BUGS IS OUR BIGGEST
POLICY -- THE BUDGET IS OUR
BIGGEST POLICY DOWMGHT THAT
WE ADOPT.
I WOULD LIKE FOR US TO TAKE
A MORE PROACTIVE UP FRONT
POSITION IN REGARDS TO WHAT
PRIORITIES WE WANT SO THAT
WE GIVE THE GUIDANCE TO THE
CITY MANAGER.
THAT WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANGE
FROM THE WAY WE HAVE DONE
THINGS IN THE PAST.
COUNCILMEMBER SLUSHER?
SLUSHER: I WANT TO SAY I
THINK THAT'S A REAL SOUND
IDEA.
IT WOULD APPLY AT ANY TIME.
I THINK THAT THE COUNCIL
SEEMS TO ME, IT SEEMS TO ME
LIKE THAT'S A SHORT COMING
IN THE BUDGET PROCESS.
THE COUNCIL SHOULD GET
INVOLVED EARLIER AND MORE
FORMALLY EARLIER, BUT I
THINK IT'S PARTICULARLY
IMPORTANT THIS YEAR.
MAYOR, COUNCIL, I WANT TO
BRIEFLY WALK YOU THROUGH
SOME OF THE THINGS THAT WE
ARE DOING WITH OUR REVENUE
INITIATIVE.
I WILL START OFF WITH --
WITH CLEARLY AS WE IDENTIFY
BACK IN DECEMBER, REPEATED
AGAIN TODAY, THE CITY
MANAGER ALSO DISCUSSED THE
GAP THAT WE PRESENTED TO YOU
IN JANUARY, WHILE IT WAS
PRELIMINARY, VERY EARLY GAP,
SOMETHING WE USUALLY DON'T
DO THAT EARLY ON IN THE
FISCAL YEAR.
IT'S CLEAR THAT IF I CANNING
THE GAP, CLOSING THE GAP IS
GOING TO REQUIRE WORKING ON
BOTH SIDES OF THE EQUATION.
WE HAVE A FUNDAMENTAL
STRUCTURAL IMBALANCE OF
CURRENT REVENUES TO CURRENT
EXPENDITURES.
TO DO THAT, THE CITY MANAGER
AT THAT TIME DIRECTED THAT
WE LOOK AT OTHER REVENUE
SOURCES.
WHAT CAN WE DO TO GENERATE
NEW REVENUES.
IN ADDITION TO NEW FEES,
EXISTING FEES, YOU KNOW
POSSIBLY AT THIS TIME, I
BELIEVE MR. HAUKENOSE TALKED
ABOUT IT, WHAT CAN WE DO TO
STIMULATE MORE ECONOMIC
ACTIVITY FOR NEW REVENUES OR
INCREASED REVENUES.
WELL, WHAT WE STARTED WITH
WAS AN ASSESSMENT OF OUR
CURRENT FEES.
WE GOT AN INVENTORY OF OUR
FEES, WE HAVE BEEN WORKING
CLOSELY WITH OUR CONSULTANT
TO IDENTIFY CLEARLY THE
LEGISLATIVE SUPPORT OR THE
ACTIONS THAT CREATED THE
EXISTING FEES.
ALSO REVIEWED THE HISTORICAL
DATA AND THE ACTIVITY OF
THAT FEES, AS FAR AS THE FEE
INCREASES, REVENUES THAT
COME IN, WHAT KIND OF
SERVICES ARE BEING PROVIDED.
THE ADVANTAGE THAT WE HAVE
SEEN WORKING WITH OUR
CONSULTANT IS THE CONSULTANT
HAS VERY RECENT EXPERIENCE
WORKING WITH OTHER CITIES IN
THE -- IN THE EXACT SAME
PROCESS, REVIEWING EXISTING
FEES.
THEY BRING TO US THAT
KNOWLEDGE AND THAT
EXPERIENCE.
IN ADDITION TO THAT, THEY
BRING US THE KNOWLEDGE AND
EXPERIENCE FOR FEES FOR
SERVICES THAT WE POTENTIALLY
CAN BE PROVIDING RIGHT NOW
AT NO COST TO THE USERS.
TRADITIONALLY SHOULD BE
CHARGED.
THOSE ARE THE KIND OF THINGS
THAT WE ARE EVALUATING.
SPECIFICALLY AS WE LOOK AT
FEES, LOOK AT THE HISTORICAL
DATA, ONE OF THE VERY BASIC
THINGS THAT WE NEED TO LOOK
AT IS THE LAST TIME A FEW
WAS INCREASED.
THERE ARE SOME FEES THAT --
THAT HAVE GONE OVER 10 YEARS
WITHOUT BEING -- WITHOUT
BEING INCREASED.
THAT COULD BE A GOOD THING.
I -- AT THIS POINT IT WOULD
BE PRELIMINARY FOR ME TO SAY
THAT WE SHOULD IMMEDIATELY
INCREASE THOSE, BUT CLEARLY
THERE'S BEEN INFLATION
IMPACT, COST IMPACTS, THAT
JUSTIFY REVIEWING THOSE FEES
TO DETERMINE WHETHER THEY
ARE CANDIDATES TO BE
INCREASED.
OTHER CANDIDATES FOR A
FEE -- FOR FEE INCREASES ARE
THOSE THAT ARE SPECIFICALLY
PROVIDED BY SERVICE, BUT WE
NEED TO ASSESS THE COST OF
PROVIDING THAT SERVICE.
SALARY COSTS HAVE -- HAVE
BEEN INCREASING.
OPERATIONAL COSTS, CORE
COSTS HAVE INCREASED.
SO FOR THOSE FEES THAT ARE
MORE INVOLVED, WE ARE
COMPLETING COST OF SERVICE
STUDIES TO DETERMINE WHAT
A -- WHAT AN HE COULD......... EQUITABLE AND
MORE ACTIVE FEE WOULD BE.
WHAT WE ARE DOING THAT, THIS
IS AN IMPORTANT POINT THAT I
WANT TO MAKE SURE THAT I
COMMUNICATE.
WHAT WE ARE DOING IS JUST
IDENTIFYING FEES OR NEW FEES
THAT ARE CANDIDATES FOR
DISCUSSION.
CANDIDATES FOR OUR REVIEW TO
BRING FORWARD AND PRESENT TO
YOU AS PART OF OUR -- IN THE
BUDGET PROCESS.
KEEP IT IN MIND, YOU KNOW,
THREE VERY KEY, IMPORTANT
FACTORS AND ONE IS WE HAVE
GOT TO MAKE SURE IT AN
EQUITABLE FEE.
WHATEVER WE COME UP HAS GOT
TOING AN EQUITABLE FEE.
IT'S GOT TO BE SENSITIVE TO
WHAT'S HAPPENING AROUND US.
WE HAVE GOT TO ENSURE THAT
THE EXISTING CLIENTELE, THE
EXISTING CUSTOMERS ARE
NOT -- YOU KNOW, I GUESS
THEY ARE NOT PROHIBITED FROM
HAVING ACCESS TO THE SAME
PROGRAM AND SERVICES BECAUSE
OF ANY KIND OF FEE INCREASE
THAT WE ARE PROPOSING.
WHEN WE BRING SOMETHING
FORWARD FOR YOU, TO YOU, IT
WOULD BE IN THE FORM OF A
RECOMMENDATION AND PROPOSAL
FOR FURTHER DISCUSSION AND
HOPEFULLY WE WILL HAVE
THE -- THE INFORMATION YOU
NEED TO MAKE SURE THAT WE
HAVE -- WE HAVE CAREFULLY
CONSIDERED ALL OF THE
FACTORS.
THAT'S WHERE WE ARE AT NOW.
THAT'S A VERY QUICK STATUS
ON WHERE WE ARE WITH OUR
REVENUE INITIATIVE.
QUESTIONS FOR MR. GARZA?
CITY MANAGER?
FUTRELL: I WAS JUST GOING
TO SAY WHEN QUESTIONS WERE
OVER, VICKI WILL KICK-OFF
WITH TALKING ABOUT OUR LAST
TOOL, WHICH IS THE CORE
SERVICE ANALYSIS.
GOODMAN: I GUESS, COULD
YOU GIVE ME A COUPLE OF FEES
THAT WE ARE MENTIONING THAT
HADN'T BEEN LOOKED AT, CAN
YOU --
WE HAVE SOME BUILDING USE
FEES, SPECIALLY IN THE PARKS
AREA, THAT HAVE BEEN
ACTUALLY PROBABLY THE -- IN
1990 WAS THE LAST TIME THAT
WE LOOKED AT SOME OF THOSE
FACILITIES, SOME -- SOME
CLASSES LIKE RECREATIONAL
CLASSES, ALSO EARLY '90'S,
LIKE 1990, IT WAS THE LAST
TIME THAT WE HAD A FEE
INCREASE THERE.
AND IT JUST -- THEY JUST
KIND OF GO ALL AROUND.
WE HAVE SOME REPORT FEES,
THIS GOES BACK ACTUALLY BACK
TO 1993.
A POLICE REPORT.
POLICE REPORT FEES I GUESS
THE LAST TIME THAT SPECIFIC
FEE WAS OCTOBER THE '94.
IT'S BEEN -- THEY ARE KIND
OF ALL OVER THE MAP, BUT
THOSE ARE SOME OF THE
EXAMPLES.
SLUSHER: MAYOR?
COULD WE --
MAYOR GARCIA: [INAUDIBLE]
SLUSHER: THIS IS SORT OF
[INAUDIBLE] AT THE MOMENT,
BUT SERIOUSLY COULD WE LOOK
AT WHAT THE -- WHAT WE MIGHT
SAVE BY HAVING THE
THERMOSTATS SET A LITTLE
HIGHER IN THE CITY
BUILDINGS?
FOR INSTANCE, I DON'T WANT
TO SEE PEOPLE AROUND HERE
THIS SUMMER WEARING
SWEATERS.
I WISHED THAT I WOULD HAVE
BROUGHT ONE THIS MORNING.
OR A COAT.
SO WE MIGHT BE ABLE TO SAVE
A LITTLE MONEY, I REALIZE
THEN THAT WOULD COME OUT OF
AUSTIN ENERGY'S SIDE OF IT.
BUT I WOULD REALLY LIKE TO
SEE WHAT WE DO ON THAT.
MAYOR GARCIA: WHEN YOU
TALK ABOUT IT IN THAT SENSE,
IT'S ACTUALLY HOW MUCH WE
SPEND, WHETHER IT COMES OUT
OF ONE OR THE OTHER.
THE CITY ITSELF --
SLUSHER: EXACTLY.
ENVIRONMENTALLY MORE SOUND,
TOO.
MAYOR GARCIA: RIGHT.
FROM AUSTIN ENERGY, SEE
WHAT KIND OF INFORMATION,
WHAT KIND OF THINGS WE CAN
DO TO ASSESS ENERGY IMPACTS.
RIGHT, THERE MIGHT BE
THINGS, TOO, BESIDE JUST THE
THERMOSTAT THAT THE CITY IS
NOT TAKING FULL ADVANTAGE OF
SOME OF THE PROGRAMS, WE
MIGHT BE ABLE TO HAVE SOME
SAVINGS THROUGH THE
CONSERVATION -- PROGRAMS,
TOO.
MAYOR GARCIA: THE LAST
COUNCILMEMBER THAT BROUGHT
THAT UP WAS COUNCILMEMBER
LOWELL L.B.J........ LEBERMAN, HE SAID WE
ARE AT 78 AND LOVING IT,
SWEATING AND LOVING IT.
FUTRELL: WITH THAT, WE
ARE GOING TO HEAD INTO A
VERY TRICKY DISCUSSION ON
CORE SERVICES.
VICKI IS GOING TO STRESS
THIS, LET ME REPEAT IT ON
THE FRONT END.
ONCE AGAIN THIS IS A LITTLE
BIT LIKE SAYING DEFINITIVE
ART.
THIS IS A VERY TRICKY
METHODOLOGY IN TRYING TO
HONE IN ON WHAT A CORE
SEMICORE SERVICES FOR
CITIES -- ON WHAT ARE CORE,
SEMI CORE SERVICES FOR
CITIES.
EACH ONE OF THESE DECISIONS
HAVE GENERATED ENORMOUS
DISCUSSION AND
CONVERSATIONS, I WOULD SAY
ARGUMENTS, EVEN AMONG THE
MANAGEMENT TEAM.
SO WE ARE TRYING TO -- TO
EXPOSE YOU, INTRODUCE YOU TO
THIS METHODOLOGY, LETTING
YOU KNOW THAT THERE CAN BE
DEBATE AND DISCUSSION ON HOW
EACH AND EVERY ONE OF THESE
SERVICES ARE RANKED.
AND MOST IMPORTANTLY, THAT
WE ARE NOT TRYING TO SAY BY
THE CLASSIC INDICATION
THAT -- CLASSIFICATION THAT
SOMETHING IS NOT IMPORTANT
OR THAT SOMETHING IS RANKED
SEMI CORE VERSUS NON-CORE
THAT THAT IS A
RECOMMENDATION FOR A CUT.
THAT IS NOT THE GOAL OF THIS
INITIATIVE.
BUT IT IS A WAY FOR US TO
TAKE A LOOK AT HOW WE HAVE
APPROPRIATED OUR DOLLARS.
IT IS ONE TOOL OF MANY THAT
HAVE TO BE COMBINED WITH
MANY OTHER FACTORS TO MAKE A
DECISION.
SO WITH THAT HEAVY CAVEAT,
VICKI WILL START THIS PART
OF THE PRESENTATION.
GOOD MORNING, MAYOR AND
COUNCIL.
MY NAME IS VICKI SCHUBERT.
I'M THE ACTING DIRECTOR OF
FINANCIAL SERVICES.
AS TOBY TOLD YOU, I'M HERE
TO TALK ABOUT OUR CORE
SERVICES INITIATIVE.
I THINK A STATEMENT THAT
JOHN HAUKENOSE MADE A LITTLE
BIT EARLIER FRAMED THIS IN A
VERY SIMPLISTIC WAY IN MY
MIND.
HE TALKED ABOUT PEOPLE WHO
LAST YEAR LOST THEIR JOB,
FOUND OTHER JOB AT A LOWER
PAYING SALARY AND THEN HE
WENT ON TO SAY THAT WHEN
THEY HAD THAT LOWER PAYING
SALARY, THEY SPENT MORE OF
THEIR MONEY ON THEIR CORE
BASIC NEEDS AND THEY LET
OTHER THINGS FALL BY THE
WAYSIDE.
THAT IS THE CONCEPT THAT WE
WERE TRYING TO EMBRACE HERE
AS WE DEVELOPED CORE
SERVICES INITIATIVE.
THE -- THE OBJECTIVES OF THE
INITIATIVE WERE TO DEVELOP A
PROCESS TO CLASSIFY ALL CITY
SERVICES ACCORDING TO THEIR
CORE MUNICIPAL FUNCTIONS.
AND TO IDENTIFY THE CURRENT
ALLOCATION OF RESOURCES BY
CLASSIFICATION.
AS A RESULT, WE BELIEVE WE
HAVE A MANAGEMENT TOOL TO
PROVIDE RECOMMENDATIONS TO
COUNCIL ON ALLOCATION OF
SCARCE RESOURCES AND WE HAVE
A TOOL FOR COUNCIL TO ASSIST
WITH THE REVIEW AND
DECISIONS ON THE BUDGET.
TO PUT THE CONCEPT KIND OF
AT A VERY BASIC LEVEL, YOU
COULD ASK YOURSELF IF I WERE
ESTABLISHING A CITY TODAY, I
HAD LIMITED RESOURCES, HOW
WOULD I LIKELY SPEND THOSE?
WHAT WOULD BE THE CRITICAL
FUNCTIONS THAT I WOULD FUND.
MOST LIKELY THE THINGS THAT
WOULD COME TO YOUR MIND
WOULD BE THINGS LIKE PUBLIC
SAFETY FIRST RESPONDERS,
CLOSELY FOLLOWED BY CONCERNS
LIKE PUBLIC HEALTH AND SAFE
FOOD, SAFE DRINKING WATER.
IN THE NEXT SEVERAL YEARS IS
YOUR -- AS YOUR NEW CITY
GREW, AND YOUR REVENUE BASE
GREW WITH IT, YOU WOULD LOOK
TO FIND THE NEXT MOST
IMPORTANT THINGS.
THEY COULD FALL INTO
CATEGORIES SUCH AS
INFRASTRUCTURE OR BUILDINGS
BEING CONSTRUCTED SOUNDLY TO
KEEP CITIZENS SAFE.
HEALTH, POLLUTION CONTROL,
SEPTIC SYSTEMS ADEQUATE.
AS THE YEARS PASSED AND YOU
ADDED MORE SERVICES, MORE
AND MORE OF THE SERVICES YOU
ADDED WOULD MOST LIKELY BE
LESS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
CORE BASIC NEEDS OF THE
CITY, AND MORE GEARED
TOWARDS ENHANCING THE
QUALITY OF LIFE FOR YOUR
CITIZENS.
SO THAT KIND OF GETS US TO
OUR PROCESS, WHAT PROCESS
DID WE USE TO INMEANT THIS
PROGRAM?
WE STARTED WITH THE
ASSUMPTION THAT OUR
DEPARTMENT'S BUSINESS PLANS
ARE FAIRLY WELL DEFINED.
AND IN NOVEMBER WE TRAINED
ALL OF OUR DEPARTMENT HEADS
IN KEY -- AND KEY FINANCIAL
STAFF ON THE CORE SERVICES
INITIATIVE.
IN DECEMBER AND JANUARY,
DEPARTMENTS WENT BACK AND
WORKED WITH THEIR MANAGERS
AND STAFF TO -- TO COMPLETED
THEIR BUSINESS PLANS.
AS PART OF THAT, THEY
ACTUALLY DID A SELF
ASSESSMENT CLASSIFYING ALL
OF THEIR ACTIVITIES AND
PROGRAMS BASED ON THE CORE
SERVICE CRITERIA WE PROVIDED
THEM.
WE ARE NOW IN THE PROCESS OF
REVIEWING ALL OF THESE
CLASSIFICATIONS AND THE
STUDY SAID DISCUSSING THEM
AT VARIOUS LEVELS.
BASED ON THE CRITERIA, A
SERVICE CORE ACTIVITY OF THE
CITY IS CLASSIFIED EITHER AS
A CORE, SEMI-CORE OR A
SERVICE ENHANCEMENT, WHICH
SOMETIMES WE WILL CALL
NON-CORE SERVICE.
I'M GOING TO PROVIDE YOU
MORE DETAILS ON THOSE
CRITERIA IN JUST A MOMENT.
IT IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT
THE CLASSIFICATION OF AN
ACTIVITY IN ANY OF THESE
CATEGORIES OR CRITERIA IS
NOT THE ONLY THING THAT
SHOULD BE OR CAN BE USED IN
DETERMINING -- DETERMINING
WHETHER AN ACTIVITY SHOULD
BE FUNDED.
AS WE GO THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE
PRESENTATION, USE THIS TOOL
DURING THE BUDGET
DEVELOPMENT PROCESS, I WOULD
LIKE FOR YOU TO KEEP THE
FOLLOWING QUOTE IN MIND.
JUST LIKE BUDGETING THE CORE
SERVICE CLASSIFICATION
PROCESS IS NOT AN EXACT
SCIENCE.
THERE WILL BE EXCEPTIONS AND
AMBIGUITIES, THERE WILL BE
LOTS OF OPPORTUNITIES FOR
REASONABLE PEOPLE TO
DISAGREE.
TO ME IT ALL PART OF RUNNING
A BUSINESS THAT DOES NOT
HAVE AS ITS SOLE PURPOSE THE
INCREASING FINANCIAL BOTTOM
LINE.
MAKING MONEY.
IT MAKES DECISION MAKING
MUCH MORE DIFFICULT.
WITH THAT I WOULD LIKE TO
MOVE INTO THE CORE CRITERIA.
AND THERE ARE SIX OF THOSE
AND I'M GOING TO GIVE YOU
SOME EXAMPLES OF EACH.
I ALSO WANT TO NOTE THAT
CORE AND SEMI-CORE CRITERIA
ARE RANKED IN DESCENDING
ORDER ACCORDING TO
IMPORTANCE.
AS MENTIONED TO YOU IN A
PREVIOUS MEMO, A CORE
SERVICE IS FUNDAMENTAL TO
CARRYING OUT THE
RESPONSIBILITIES DELEGATED
TO LOCAL GOVERNMENT FROM THE
STATE OR THE FEDERAL
GOVERNMENT.
WITH THAT, OUR FIRST
CRITERIA IS ANY ACTIVITY
THAT HAS A POTENTIAL OR
NEAR-TERM EFFECT ON PUBLIC
SAFETY OR HEALTH.
CLEAR EXAMPLE OF THAT WOULD
BE PUBLIC SAFETY FIRST
RESPONSE, AS I SAID SOME OF
THE HEALTH ACTIVITIES.
OUR SECOND CORE CRITERIA IS
THAT IT MEETS BUT DOES NOT
EXCEED A STATE OR FEDERAL
MANDATE OR THE CITY CHARTER.
AND NOTE HERE, WILL, THAT WE
TALK ABOUT THE CHARTER, NOT
THE CODE.
AND HERE WE HAVE BUILDING
PERMIT INSPECTIONS ENSURING
THAT BUILDINGS ARE
CONSTRUCTED SOUNDLY.
OUR THIRD CORE CRITERIA IS
THE LOSS OF ACTIVITY OR
SERVICE HAS A LONG-TERM BUT
POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC, IN
OTHER WORDS SUDDEN, SWIFT,
DISASTROUS EFFECT ON THE
PUBLIC AND THE ACTIVITY OR
SERVICE IS NOT THE CORE
SERVICE OF ANOTHER ENTITY.
AN EXAMPLE OF THIS IS KIND
OF RODENT AND MOSQUITO
CONTROL.
IT'S CERTAINLY SOMETHING
THAT YOU COULD LET GO FOR
LITTLE WHILE, BUT IN THE
LONG TIME, IF YOU ARE NOT
CONTROLLING THEM, YOU ARE
CERTAINLY MORE SUBJECT TO
DISEASE OUTBREAKS.
ALSO, IF WE WERE CLASSIFYING
THE ACTIVITIES OF OUR
WATERSHED PROTECTION
DEPARTMENT, FLOOD CONTROL
WOULD BE ANOTHER GOOD
EXAMPLE OF AN ACTIVITY THAT
WOULD FALL INTO THIS CORE
CRITERIA.
OUR FOURTH CORE CRITERIA IS
THAT AN ACTIVITY HAS A
BENEFICIAL EFFECT ON THE
DAILY LIVES OF THE
SIGNIFICANT SEGMENT OF THE
POPULATION AND IS NOT THE
CORE SERVICE OF ANOTHER
ENTITY.
EXAMPLES OF THIS WOULD BE
LIBRARY CIRCULATION, OR OUR
PARKS, POOLS OR OTHER PARKS
PROGRAMS.
OUR FIFTH CORE CRITERIA IS
THAT IT PROVIDES REVENUE
THROUGH A DIRECT REVENUE
GENERATING OR COLLECTING
FUNCTION THAT IS IN EXCESS
OF ITS TOTAL COSTS AND THAT
IS NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED BY
ANOTHER ENTITY.
AN EXAMPLE OF THIS IS OUR
COURT IN -- IN MUNICIPAL
COURT, THE COLLECTIONS OF
FEES AND FINES FOR WARRANTS
AND TICKETS.
OUR 6TH CORE CRITERIA IS
ANYTHING THAT PROVIDES A
DIRECT SUPPORT OR CRITICAL
INDIRECT SUPPORT FOR A CORE
SERVICE.
THE EXAMPLE THAT WE HAVE
CHOSEN HERE IS THE E.M.S.
ACADEMY, YOU HAVE GOT NEW
PARAMEDICS COMING IN.
IN ORDER FOR THEM TO BECOME
THE FIRST RESPONDERS THAT WE
TALKED ABOUT UNDER THE FIRST
CRITERIA, THEY NEED TO GO
THROUGH THE ACADEMY TO BE
TRAINED AND BE READY TO GO
OUT THERE.
SO THAT SUPPORTS THE -- THE
CORE ACTIVITY.
WITH THAT WE MOVE INTO OUR
SEMI CORE CLASSIFICATIONS,
THESE ARE SERVICES THAT
LOCAL GOVERNMENTS MAY USE TO
AUGMENT EITHER THEIR OWN
CORE SERVICES OR THOSE CORE
SERVICES OF ANOTHER ENTITY
SUCH AS THE SCHOOL DISTRICT
OR THE WORKFORCE COMMISSION.
IF YOU WILL NOTE, I BELIEVE
WE HANDED OUT A SHEET OF
PAPER TO YOU THAT SHOWS A
CORE AND SEMI CORE SERVICES
SIDE BY SIDE, IT'S A
SEPARATE THING.
WE TRIED TO HAVE THEM SO
THAT THEY CORRESPOND AND
WHAT I HAVE DONE ON THE --
ON THE SLIDE UP HERE IS I
HAVE ITALICIZED AND CHANGED
THE COLOR OF THE DIFFERENCE
BETWEEN THE CORE NUMBER ONE
CORE CRITERIA AND NUMBER ONE
SEMI CORE CRITERIA TO HELP
YOU SEE THE DIFFERENCE
BETWEEN THE TWO.
SO OUR FIRST CORE CRITERIA
WAS THAT AN ACTIVITY HAS A
POTENTIAL NEAR-TERM EFFECT
ON PUBLIC SAFETY OR HEALTH.
OUR FIRST SEMI CORE CRITERIA
IS THAT IT HAS A POTENTIAL
AND BENEFICIAL LONG-TERM
EFFECT ON PUBLIC SAFETY OR
HEALTH.
BUT THE LOSS OF THE ACTIVITY
OR SERVICE WOULD NOT HAVE A
POTENTIAL CATASTROPHIC
EFFECT.
OUR EXAMPLE HERE IS HEALTH
AND HUMAN SERVICES DISEASE
AND INJURY PREVENTION.
THIS PROGRAM PROVIDES HEALTH
PROMOTION AND EDUCATION
SERVICES TO THE PUBLIC TO
INCREASE AWARENESS OF RISK
AND PREVENTION STRATEGIES
FOR CLIENT DISEASES AND
INJURIES.
OUR SECOND SEMI CORE
CRITERIA IS THAT A PORTION
OF A -- IT IS THAT PORTION
OF A CORE SERVICE THAT
EXCEEDS A STATE OR FEDERAL
MANDATE OR IT IS AN
AUGMENTATION OF A CORE
SERVICE.
THE EXAMPLE THAT WE HAVE
USED HERE IS WATER
CONSERVATION.
A CORR SERVICE WOULD BE
PROVIDING -- A CORE SERVICE
WOULD BE PROVIDING SAFE
DRINKING WATER.
BEING CONSERVATIVE WITH HOW
YOU USE THAT IN PROPOSING
CONSERVATION WOULD BE A
SEMI-CORE SERVICE.
MAYOR GARCIA:
[INAUDIBLE].
THAT THESE ARE SOME KEY
DECISIONS THAT WE NEED TO
MAKE, I CAN UNDERSTAND WHY
YOU HAD THE ARGUMENT AT THE
STAFF LEVEL.
BECAUSE TO SOME PEOPLE THOSE
KINDS OF WATER CONSERVATION
IS VERY, VERY IMPORTANT.
AND THAT -- THAT CRITERIA
WOULD HAVE TO BE LOOKED AT
CAREFULLY.
TO ENSURE THAT WE MAKE THE
PROPER DECISION.
FUTRELL: JUST TO REPEAT,
EVEN IN GOING THROUGH THE
DRY RUN OF THE PRESENTATION,
WE ARGUED AMONG OURSELVES
OVER THE EXAMPLES.
THEY ARE -- I THINK THE MOST
CRITICAL THING TO UNDERSTAND
IS THAT THIS CLASSIFICATION
HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH THE
IMPORTANCE OF THE SERVICE.
EVERY -- I PERSONALLY
BELIEVE, HAVING EVALUATED,
THERE IS EVERY DIME WE SPEND
IN THE CITY HAS AN IMPORTANT
SERVICE OR OUTCOME.
THIS -- THIS ANALYSIS IS
INSTEAD DESIGNED TO HELP YOU
MAKE SOME DECISIONS GOING
BACK TO WHAT DO -- WHAT ARE
CITY'S REQUIRED TO PROVIDE
AND WHAT SERVICES NO ONE
ELSE PROVIDES BUT CITIES TO
HELP GIVE YOU AN IDEA, AND
I -- AND I GUESS A WAY TO
BACK INTO THAT IS, IF WE
WERE STARTING OVER TODAY,
THE EXAMPLE THAT VICKI
STARTED WITH, IF YOU ONLY
HAD A MILLION DOLLARS AND
YOU WERE A BRAND NEW
FLEDGLING CITY, HOW WOULD
YOU SPEND THAT MONEY?
THEN YOUR SECOND YEAR, YOUR
THIRD YEAR, YOU NOW HAVE $2
MILLION, YOUR CITY IS A
LITTLE BIGGER, WHAT SERVICES
WOULD YOU ADD?
AND THERE IS A KIND OF
NATURAL PROGRESSION ON HOW
CITIES BUILD UP AND
PRIORITIZE SERVICES.
BUT THAT IS NOT A STATEMENT
THAT THE SERVICES, OTHER
SERVICES ARE NOT IMPORTANT.
IT'S NOT A STATEMENT THAT
THERE IS NOT ANY DEBATE IN
DETERMINING HOW YOU ADD
THOSE CORE SERVICES.
BECAUSE AT ALMOST EVERY
LEVEL THERE ARE A LOT OF
AMBIGUITIES.
FOR OUR SEMI-CORE CRITERIA
WE DID NOT HAVE AN
EQUIVALENT TO THE THIRD CORE
CRITERIA, SO WE WILL JUST
MOVE PAST THAT.
OUR FOURTH IS THAT AN
ACTIVITY HAS A BENEFICIAL
EFFECT ON THE DAILY LIVES OF
SIGNIFICANT SEGMENT OF THE
POPULATION, BUT IS THE CORE
SERVICE OF ANOTHER ENTITY
AND THE EXAMPLE THAT WE HAVE
HERE IS THE CITY HAS A
WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT
PROGRAM.
THERE'S ALSO A TEXAS
WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT
COMMISSION CHARGED WITH
WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT.
ALVAREZ: MAYOR?
YEAH, I GUESS I WANTED A
LITTLE MORE DESCRIPTION OF
THAT ONE BECAUSE I COULD --
WE COULD ALMOST DEFINE
ANYTHING AS A CORE -- AS A
SEMI-CORE SERVICE BASED ON
THIS CRITERIA.
IN TERMS OF FINDING A --
A -- AN ACTIVITY THAT'S THE
CORE SERVICE OF ANOTHER
ENTITY.
SO I GUESS THAT I'M TRYING
TO FIGURE OUT WHAT -- WHAT
OTHER EXAMPLES -- YOU KNOW,
WHAT THE LIMITATIONS ARE IN
THIS PARTICULAR CRITERIA.
WELL, COUNCILMEMBER, I --
I WILL TELL YOU THAT AS WE
WENT THROUGH AND DID THIS
EVALUATION, THERE WERE VERY
FEW SERVICES THAT FELL INTO
THIS CRITERIA.
THE WAY WE HAVE DEFINED IT.
IT HAD TO BE A FAIRLY
SPECIFIC SERVICE PROVIDED BY
ANOTHER ENTITY AND AT THE
END OF THIS, I HAVE A LITTLE
SUMMARY ABOUT THE TOTAL
DOLLAR VALUE IN THE VARIOUS
CATEGORIES, BUT IN THIS
PARTICULAR CRITERIA, OVERALL
THERE WERE ONLY PROBABLY $3
MILLION WORTH OF PROGRAMS
THAT FELL UNDER IT.
SO IT WAS NOT INTERPRETED
VERY BROADLY.
ALVAREZ: OKAY.
OUR FIFTH SEM CORE
CRITERIA -- SEMI-CORE
CRITERIA PROVIDES REVENUE
THROUGH A DIRECT REVENUE
GENERATING OR COLLECTING
FUNCTION THAT FUNDS MOST BUT
NOT ALL OF ITS COSTS AND
THAT IS NOT GENERATED OR
COLLECTED BY ANOTHER ENTITY.
AN EXAMPLE THAT WE THOUGHT
OF UNDER THIS IS THAT THE
CITY'S TENNIS PROGRAM USED
TO BE TOTALLY SELF FUNDING.
NOW IT GENERATES SOME FEES
TO COVER IT, BUT ALSO
RECEIVES SOME GENERAL FUND
SUBPOENAEDZY.
SO THAT IS THE -- SUBSIDY,
SO THAT IS THE KIND OF THING
THAT WE WOULD BE LOOKING AT.
OUR SIXTH SEMI-CORE
CRITERIA, IS ANYTHING THAT
PROVIDES DIRECT SUPPORT FOR
A SEMI CORE SERVICE OR
INDIRECT SUPPORT FOR A CORE
SERVICE.
THE EXAMPLE WE USE HERE IS
FIRING, PLANNING AND
RESEARCH.
THIS AREA WITHIN FIRE
PROVIDES A LOT OF DATA
ANALYSIS AND REPORTING AND
CONSULTATION SERVICES TO THE
MANAGERS AND THE EMPLOYEES
IN FIRE.
SO THAT THEY CAN MAKE DATA
DRIVEN DECISIONS.
THAT GETS US TO OUR LAST
SEMI-CORE CRITERIA.
AND ANY PROGRAM ACTIVITY OR
SERVICE THAT DID NOT MEET OR
DOES NOT MEET THE CORE OR
SEMI-CORE SERVICE CRITERIA
IS CONSIDERED A SERVICE
ENHANCEMENT.
JUST TO GIVE YOU SOME
PRELIMINARY RESULTS, WE ARE
IN THE CLASSIFICATION
PROCESS, NOT EVERYTHING IS
FINALIZED, BUT WE HAVE ONLY
BEEN CLASSIFYING THE
ACTIVITIES OF THE GENERAL
FUND AND THE SUPPORT
SERVICES FUND.
WE HAVE NOT BEEN DOING THIS
FOR ENTERPRISE FUNDS.
THE SUPPORT SERVICES FUND IS
FUNDED ABOUT 50% BY THE
GENERAL FUND.
THAT'S WHY IT WAS BEING
HANDLED THE SAME WAY.
WE FOUND THAT ABOUT 62% OR
290 MILLION DOLLARS OF THE
GENERAL FUND APPROPRIATIONS
HAVE BEEN CLASSIFIED AS CORE
SERVICES.
ANOTHER 37.5, 8.1% AS SEMI
CORE.
IN TERMS OF THE SERVICE
ENHANCEMENT CATEGORY,
THERE'S ONLY 650 --
650,000 -- WELL, 650,000.
IF YOU PUT TOGETHER THAT
AMOUNT PLUS THE SERVICE
ENHANCEMENTS IN THE SUPPORT
SERVICES FUND, YOU END UP
AROUND THE $2 MILLION RANGE.
THE FINAL CATEGORY IS OUR
TRANSFERS, OTHER AND
DEPARTMENTAL SUPPORT
SERVICES, WHICH IS ABOUT
29.6 OF THE TOTAL OR $138
MILLION.
OUR TRANSFERS INCLUDE THINGS
LIKE THE TRANSFER FROM THE
GENERAL FUND TO THE SUPPORT
SERVICES FUND, TRANSFER TO
VEHICLE ACQUISITION TO -- BY
VEHICLES -- TO BUY VEHICLES,
TRANSFERS TO C.I.P., OUR
GENERAL FUND CONTINGENCY,
WORKERS' COMP, SELF
INSURANCE, ALL OF THOSE
KINDS OF THINGS THAT WE FUND
AT A FUND LEVEL INSTEAD OF A
DEPARTMENTAL LEVEL, AS WELL
AS ANY INDIRECT AND SUPPORT
COSTS OF DEPARTMENTS SUCH AS
BUILDING RENT, FLEET
SERVICES, ALL OF THE
ADMINISTRATIVE STAFFS WITHIN
THE DEPARTMENT.
SO THAT'S WHAT THAT FINAL
CATEGORY COVERS.
FINALLY, I FOR THERE HAVE
BEEN SOME QUESTIONS ABOUT
WHAT ARE OTHER CITIES DOING.
I THINK RUDY AND THE BUDGET
STAFF DID SOME RESEARCH AND
WE FOUND THAT NOT VERY MANY
OTHER CITIES WERE LOOKING AT
CORE SERVICES INITIATIVE OR
ANYTHING SIMILAR.
WE DID HAVE CONTACT OF THE
GOVERNOR'S FINANCE OFFICERS
ASSOCIATION OF TEXAS, WHO
WAS VERY INTERESTED IN THIS
BECAUSE SHE HAD BEEN GETTING
A LOT OF CALLS FROM MEMBER
ASKING HOW OTHER TEXAS
CITIES WERE GOING TO DEAL
WITH BUDGET SHORTFALLS AND
SHE HAS ASKED US TO COME TO
A PRESENTATION AT THEIR
ANNUAL CONFERENCE TO HELP
SHARE THIS INFORMATION.
FINAL THING, JUST TO WRAP UP
AGAIN, TOBY WENT OVER THESE,
WHAT ARE THE NEXT STEPS, ON
MAY 8TH, FIVE YEAR FORECAST,
THAT'S WHERE THE BUDGET GAP
IS TALKED ABOUT.
AND AS WE ARE PROPOSING A
MAY 15TH AND 22ND COUNCIL
BUDGET WORK SESSION TO -- TO
ALLOW YOU THE OPPORTUNITY TO
PROVIDE SOME FUNDAMENTAL
GUIDANCE ON THE BUDGET
PRINCIPLES THAT YOU WOULD
LIKE US TO USE IN FRAMING
THE BUDGET, THE PROPOSED
BUDGET FOR 2003.
SO WITH THAT, I WILL OPEN IT
UP FOR QUESTIONS.
MAYOR GARCIA: THANK YOU,
MS. SCHUBERT.
QUESTIONS FOR MS. SCHUBERT?
GOODMAN: I HAVE ONE.
MAYOR GARCIA: MAYOR PRO
TEM.
GOODMAN: LET ME ASK YOU
WHY YOU THINK OR IF YOU CAN
SPECULATE WHERE OTHER CITIES
HAVEN'T DEVISED SOME SORT OF
PRIORITIZING PROCESS FOR
THEMSELVES?
MAYBE BECAUSE THEY ARE NOT
WHERE WE ARE?
I GUESS I'M NOT SAYING
THAT THEY HAVEN'T DEVISED
ANOTHER PROCESS.
BUT THEY HAVEN'T DEVISED ONE
SIMILAR TO THIS.
I MEAN, I THINK EVERY --
EVERYONE WHO GETS -- WHEN
YOU GET INTO A BUDGET CRUNCH
YOU CAN DO ONE -- YOU CAN
CUT ACROSS THE BOARD OR TRY
TO PRIORITIZE PROGRAMS
SOMEHOW.
WE HAVE NOT FOUND BUT MAYBE
ONE OR TWO OTHER CITIES WHO
HAVE TRIED TO USE THIS SAME
METHODOLOGY TO ACTUALLY
CATEGORIZE THEIR PROGRAMS.
FUTRELL: BUT WHAT WE HAVE
FOUND IS A GREAT DEAL OF
INTEREST IN LOOKING AT THIS
METHODOLOGY AND CRITERIA TO
SEE IF THEY CAN USE IT.
I JUST WANT TO CAUTION
AGAIN, THOUGH, IT'S ONE TOOL
OF MANY.
IT IS NOT DEFINITIVE.
IT IS JUST MORE INFORMATION.
FOR EXAMPLE, YOU KNOW, WE
HEAR ALL THE TIME IN
NEWSPAPERS AND EDITORIALS
THAT WE ARE SPENDING MONEY
ON THINGS CITIES SHOULDN'T
SPEND MONEY ON.
OF COURSE THAT'S -- THAT'S
DEPENDENT ON THE PERSON WHO
MAKES THAT JUDGMENT.
BUT USING THIS METHODOLOGY
AND WITH A VERY CRITICAL
LOOK AT IT, FROM ALL ANGLES,
ALL TOTAL, GENERAL FUND
SUPPORT SERVICES AND DIRECT
SERVICES, WE COULD ONLY
IDENTIFY $2 MILLION THAT
EVEN CAME CLOSE TO BEING
CALLED SOMETHING CITIES
DON'T NORMALLY DO.
AND IN THOSE CASES, ONCE
AGAIN, NOT A STATEMENT THAT
THEY WEREN'T IMPORTANT, BUT
JUST THAT THEY WEREN'T WHAT
WOULD BE A CORE COMPONENT OF
A CITY SERVICE DELIVERY
SYSTEM WOULD BE.
THAT'S WHAT, 2 MILLION OUT
OF ABOUT 450 MILLION, VICKI,
OF THE GENERAL FUND.
JUST ABOUT.
GOODMAN: OF THE -- I'M
SORRY.
MAYOR GARCIA: GO AHEAD.
GOODMAN: OF THE PROGRAMS
OR JOBS OR WHATEVER OVERLAYS
THAT WE LOOK AT IN THAT
CONTEXT, ARE WE ALSO GOING
TO TRY TO ESTIMATE SOMEHOW
THE INVESTMENT RETURN, THE
PERFORMANCE MEASURES, AND
HOW ARE THE -- HOW ARE THE
OUTCOMES --
ACTUALLY, WE HAD A SLIDE
A LITTLE WHILE AGO ABOUT
BUDGET INITIATIVES, TOBY
TALKED ABOUT KIND OF FINE
TUNING OUR MANAGES FOR --
MANAGING FOR RESULTS AND
OUTCOME PERFORMANCE BASED
INITIATIVES.
THAT'S ANOTHER TOOL THAT WE
CAN USE THAT WE HAVE BEEN
DEVELOPING OVER THE LAST FEW
YEARS.
IN SOME CASES YOU MAY WANT
TO LOOK AT WHAT ARE YOU
GETTING FOR THE MONEY THAT
YOU ARE SPENDING THIS THAT
AREA.
IS WHAT YOU ARE GETTING
WORTH THE MONEY THAT YOU ARE
SPENDING?
THAT GOES FOR ANY OF THE
AREAS, CORE, SEMI-CORE OR
SERVICE ENHANCEMENTS.
NOT JUST THE ONES THAT FALL
LOWER IN THE RANGE.
FUTRELL: ACTUALLY, THAT
INITIATIVE WILL ALLOW YOU TO
DO TWO THINGS.
IT WILL ALLOW YOU TO DIED IF
YOU ARE GETTING THE BANG FOR
THE BUCK THAT YOU WANT.
IT WILL ALSO ALLOW US IN
CUTBACK TIMES TO MAKE SURE
THAT THE QUALITY AND
QUANTITY OF OUR SERVICES
AREN'T DROPPING TO A LEVEL
THAT ARE UNSEMIABLE TO US.
-- SUN ACCEPTABLE TO US.
-- UNACCEPTABLE TO US.
IT'S A WAY TO GAUGE HOW HARD
WE HAVE HIT THE SERVICE
DELIVERY IN THESE AREAS.
WYNN: MAYOR?
MAYOR GARCIA:
COUNCILMEMBER WYNN?
WYNN: IN THAT REGARD I
WANT TO COMMEND THE CITY
MANAGER FOR ATTEMPTING THIS
PROCESS, BECAUSE RELATED TO
OUR EARLIER DISCUSSION ABOUT
THE -- OUR BUDGET WOES, IT
SEEMS TO ME THAT THE EASY
ANSWER FRANKLY IS TO
CONTINUE TO LEAVE VACANT
POSITIONS OPEN.
BUT ONCE WE GET THE NUMBERS
AS TO WHERE ALL OF THOSE
VICK CAN'T POSITIONS ARE, WE
WILL SEE WHICH DEPARTMENT
REALLY ARE TAKING THE BRUNT
OF THAT.
BECAUSE EVEN THOUGH IT SEEMS
EASY THAT WE JUST LEAVE A
POSITION OPEN, DOWN IN THE
TRENCHES WHAT THAT MEANS IS
THERE'S A -- YOU KNOW, A MAN
OR WOMAN OUT IN OUR SOME
DEPARTMENT DOING MORE WORK
THAN THEY FELT THAT THEY
OUGHT TO BE DOING.
AND SO I THINK THE CORE
SERVICE ANALYSIS IS
IMPORTANT FOR US TO THEN
OVERLAY WHERE WE ARE GOING
TO HAVE THESE VACANT
POSITIONS REMAINING OPEN AND
SEE WHETHER THERE'S
DISPROPORTIONATE PAYING FOR
SOME DEPARTMENTS.
WE SORT OF OVERLAY THAT, SEE
HOW MUCH OF A CORE, SEMI
CORE SERVICE WE THINK IT IS.
WE WILL GET YOU THE
DETAIL ON THAT.
BUT IT'S WHAT YOU WOULD
EXPECT IT TO BE.
WITHOUT EVEN LOOKING AT THE
NUMBERS, I BET MOST OF YOU
COULD LIST THE DEPARTMENTS
THAT HAVE THE MOST VACANCIES
AND HENCE ARE GOING TO HAVE
THE MOST POSITIONS FROZEN.
THERE'S A CONCENTRATION IN
LIBRARY, IN PARKS, AND
CIVILIAN POSITIONS IN
POLICE.
AND HEALTH.
NOW, ALSO NEED TO LOOK AT
THAT AS -- THOSE ARE RAW
NUMBERS, YOU NEED TO LOOK AT
IT AS A PERCENT.
IT MAY BE ACTUALLY A SMALL
PERCENT OF POSITIONS IN THE
DEPARTMENT.
WE WILL WALK YOU THROUGH
THIS.
WE ALSO TOOK A STRONG LOOK
AT HOW LONG THE POSITIONS
HAVE BEEN VACANT.
OF COURSE THAT'S WHERE WE
STARTED.
WE STARTED WITH THOSE THAT
HAD BEEN VACANT FOR LONGEST
AS ONE CAISHT THAT WE MIGHT
BE ABLE TO CONTINUE SERVICE
DELIVERY WITHOUT THE MOST
IMMEDIATE IMPACT.
BUT AT THIS POINT WE ARE
PAST THAT.
WE ARE NOW REALLY TAKING A
LOOK AT EVERYTHING THAT'S
OPEN AT THIS POINT.
FOR A FREEZE.
ALVAREZ: I WAS JUST
WONDERING IN TERMS OF THESE
WORK SESSIONS, WE ARE
CALLING THEM DAY-LONG WORK
SESSIONS, BUT I REALLY DON'T
HAVE AN IDEA WHY -- WHY, I
DON'T KNOW IF -- IF THAT
MEANS 10:00 TO 3:00 OR 8:00
TO 5:00 OR EXACTLY.
THEN IF THERE'S --
MAYOR GARCIA: WE ARE NOT
GOING TO START ANYTHING AT
8:00 IN THE MORNING.
ALVAREZ: OKAY.
WELL, I MEAN, I HAVE BEEN
GOING TO A LOT OF 8:00
MEETINGS LATELY.
BUT -- BUT THAT'S NOT THE
ISSUE FOR ME.
THE ISSUE IS WHAT -- WHAT,
YOU KNOW, WHAT IS THE
AGENDA, HOW ARE WE GOING TO
UTILIZE OUR TIME, IS THERE
INFORMATION THAT COUNCIL CAN
FORWARD, YOU KNOW, TO -- TO
THE MANAGEMENT TO FACILITATE
OUR TO MAKE THOSE MEETINGS
MORE EFFECTIVE THE TIME WE
SPEND BECAUSE MY SENSE IS IF
WE SET FIVE HOURS FOR THIS,
WE WILL USE THIS UP.
IF WE SET 8 HOURS FOR THIS,
WE WILL USE IT UP.
I WANT SOME KIND OF
STRUCTURE BECAUSE WHEN I
FIRST HEARD THAT WE WERE
GOING TO HAVE THESE WORK
SESSIONS, I THOUGHT WELL WE
NEED TO TALK ABOUT THE
BUDGET.
DO WE NEED TO TALK ABOUT IT
FOR 8 HOURS ON TWO SEPARATE
OCCASIONS.
THAT'S WHAT I AM NOT SURE
OF.
I'M NOT SURE IF WE SHOULD
JUST DISCUSS THAT RIGHT NOW
OR IF WE NEED TO FLESH THAT
OUT IN THE NEXT WEEK.
MAYOR GARCIA: WHAT I HAVE
TOLD MY STAFF IS THAT WE
WILL WORK TO GET QUESTIONS
AND THEN MY STAFF WILL WORK
WITH THE STAFF SO EACH OF
THE COUNCIL OBVIOUSS TO SEE
HOW THEY WANT TO -- TO
STRUCTURE THE AGENDA SO THAT
WE GET THE MOST -- THE BEST
ACTIVITY COMING OUT.
I DON'T WANT TO GO OUT THERE
WITH AN OPEN AGENDA AND SAY,
OKAY, EVERYTHING IS ON THE
TABLE, WE ARE GOING TO NOW
START THE OPERATION.
WE NEED TO BE MORE PRECISE
THAN THAT.
WE WILL DO IT.
WE WILL WORK WITH THE CITY
MANAGER.
SO THAT WHEN WE GO TO THOSE
MEETINGS, I GUESS THE FIRST
ONE IS WHEN?
MAY THE --
MAY 15TH.
MAY 15TH.
IN THE INTERIM, IF YOU HAVE
IDEAS AS TO WHAT IT IS THAT
I WOULD LIKE TO SEE AT THESE
MEETINGS, LET US KNOW SO
THAT WE CAN INCORPORATE IT
INTO THE AGENDA.
I WOULD ASK PAUL FROM OUR
OFFICE TO -- TO COORDINATE
THE WORK WITH ALL OF THE
AIDES AND MAKE SURE THAT WE
GET ALL OF THE INPUT FROM
THE COUNCILMEMBERS.
THIS IS GOING TO BE A NEW
KIND OF BUDGET.
AND WE MAY BE HAVING TO ASK
THE COMMUNITY TO HELP AS WE
GO THROUGH TOUGH TIMES.
WE HAVEN'T BEEN IN THIS KIND
OF A SITUATION SINCE 1988.
AND I THINK IN 1988 WE DID
SOME THINGS THAT WE HAVE
DECIDED THAT WE ARE NOT
GOING TO DO AGAIN BECAUSE
THEY COST US A LOT MORE IN
THE LONG RUN.
SO WE ARE GOING TO BE AS --
AS JUDICIOUS AND AS -- AS
INTELLIGENT IN MAKING THOSE
DECISIONS AS POSSIBLE.
MAYOR, I'M CERTAINLY
WILLING TO TAKE AS MUCH TIME
AS IT TAKE, I GUESS, FOR IT
TO BE A VERY STRUCTURED
AGENDA.
BUT IF WE GET IN ON THE
FRONT END DISCUSSING WHAT
THE POTENTIAL RAMIFICATIONS
OF OUR ACTIONS ARE, AND I
THINK THE WAY THAT COULD
HAVE HAPPENED BACK IN THE
'80'S IS THE COUNCIL COMES
IN AT THE END OF THE BUDGET
PROCESS, AND ALL THAT WE
HAVE IS LINE ITEMS, THEY
HAVE -- THEY SAY WE NEED TO
CUT THIS MUCH AND HERE'S
SOME LINE ITEMS, SO IT'S
STREET MAINTENANCE, THERE
GOES THAT, SOME OTHER
THINGS, THEY WOULD HAVE LIKE
THE CITY MANAGER WAS TALKING
ABOUT EARLIER, HAD LONG-TERM
EFFECTS, TOOK A LONG TIME TO
RECOVER FROM IT, TO CATCH UP
ON IT.
I WOULD BE VERY WILLING, I
THINK IT'S AN APPROPRIATE
WAY TO DO IT, IS TO GO
THROUGH THE BUDGET VERY
DELIBIVELY AND LOOK AT WHAT
ALL OF THE POTENTIAL
RAMIFICATIONS ARE.
DELIB RATIVELY.
ALVAREZ: ARE WE BEING
ASKED TO GO THROUGH EVERY
BUDGET, LOOK AT EVERY LINE
ITEM OR ARE WE BEING ASKED
TO LOOK AT THE CORE SERVICE,
SEMI-CORE SERVICE, SERVICE
ENHANCEMENT, THESE DIFFERENT
CAT GOARTS WHICH I WOULD
THINK, -- CATEGORIES, I
WOULD THINK -- SEEMS LIKE
THAT'S WHAT WE ARE GOING TO
BE TALKING ABOUT.
AS SOON AS WE CAN GET THAT
INFORMATION ABOUT HOW STAFF
DEFINED SO THAT SO WE CAN
LOOK AT IT AND START, YOU
KNOW, ASSESSING IT OURSELVES
INDIVIDUALLY.
YOU KNOW, HOW WE THINK THESE
SHOULD FALL.
I GUESS THAT'S MY SORT OF
APPREHENSION IS I'M NOT
REALLY SURE WHAT -- WHAT WE
ARE BEING ASKED TO DO AT
THESE SESSIONS AND THE
SOONER WE CAN FIGURE THAT
OUT, THE SOONER WE CAN LOOK
AT FIGURES SO GO IN THERE
WITH SPECIFIC
RECOMMENDATIONS.
MAYOR GARCIA: LIKE I
INDICATED EARLIER THIS IS A
DIFFERENT WAY THAN WE HAVE
DONE IT IN THE PAST.
WE MA HAVE CITIES OUT THERE
THAT HAVE -- WE MAY HAVE
CITIES OUT THERE THAT HAVE
DONE THIS IN THIS MATTER.
THE CITY MANAGER PROPOSED WE
LAY OUT THIS CORE, UNCORE,
SO THAT WE BEGIN THE
DISCUSSION.
WE WILL WORK WITH RUDY AND
WE WILL WORK WITH OTHER
STAFF MEMBERS AND WITH THE
COUNCIL OFFICES TO FIGURE
OUT AN AGENDA THAT GIVES US
THE BEST FLEXIBILITY AND THE
SAME MAKES US FOCUS ON WHAT
IT IS TO GET THE BUDGET
APPROVED IN SEPTEMBER.
BUT I WANTED TO START EARLY
ON THIS ONE BECAUSE OF THE
DIFFICULTY IN THE '03
BUDGET.
GOODMAN: MAYOR?
IF I CAN LAY OUT A FEW
THINGS THAT I WAS ASSUMING
WOULD HAPPEN AT THESE
RETREATS, AND THEN SOMEBODY
TELL ME IF I AM WRIGHT OR
WRONG.
WHAT I ASSUMED WAS TO THE
EXTENT POSSIBLE, STAFF WOULD
BE BRINGING WITH THEM AT
LEAST A -- AT LEAST A SORT
OF PHILOSOPHICAL DEFINITION
THAT WOULD HELP US LOOK FOR
DEPARTMENTS AND PROGRAMS
THAT THEY CONSIDERED CORE
AND SEM CORE, NON-CORE.
WHAT I THOUGHT THAT WE WOULD
TAKE FOR US, AS FAR AS
PRIORITIES, POLICY-WISE,
EVEN IF THOSE ARE SOMEWHAT
CONCEPTUAL, BUT FOR SOME OF
US THAT WORK IN VERY
DETAILED WAYS ON SOME
INITIAL ACTIVITIES, THERE
WILL PROBABLY BE SOME REAL
SPECIFICS THAT WE COULD TAKE
WITH US THAT WE WOULD
CONSIDER RANCOR THE SENSE OF
CRUCIAL AND CRITICAL.
AND I WAS ALSO ASSUMING THAT
TO SOME DEGREE, THE WAY THAT
THOSE CONVERSATIONS AND
DISCUSSIONS WENT WOULD HELP
US DEFINE WHAT WE DIDN'T
KNOW AND THEN REALIZED WE
WANTED TO KNOW, SO THAT THAT
ALSO WOULD IN SOME WAY SORT
OF POINT OUT HOW WE WERE
GOING TO SPEND THE OTHER
HOURS OF -- OF EITHER THE
SECOND HALF OF THE FIRST
RETREAT AND THE SECOND
RETREAT.
SO I WAS READY TO GO IN WITH
THE BASICS THAT I KNOW THAT
I CAN PUT ON THE TABLE RIGHT
NOW.
WAITING FOR -- FOR WHAT
STAFF WAS READY TO SHOW US
BY THAT TIME AND THEN DEFINE
PROBABLY WHERE WE ARE GOING
TO SPEND OUR TIME THE REST
OF THOSE RETREAT HOURS.
MAYOR GARCIA: TO FOLLOW
UP ON THAT AND ON THE
COMMENTS BY COUNCILMEMBER
ALVAREZ, A GOOD WAY TO DO IT
MIGHT BE TO HAVE THE
COUNCILMEMBERS BEGIN
SUBMITTING QUESTIONS.
LET ME TELL YOU ONE QUESTION
THAT I HAVE.
SOME YEARS BACK WHEN I WAS
ON THE COUNCIL, WE DECIDED
TO MAKE A VERY SIGNIFICANT
INVESTMENT IN COMPUTERS.
WE JUSTIFIED IT BY SAYING WE
WOULD BE ABLE TO BETTER
SERVE THE COMMUNITY AND WE
WOULD BE ABLE TO DO IT AS
LESSER COST.
I DON'T KNOW WHETHER THAT'S
BEEN DONE.
I DON'T KNOW IF ANYBODY THAT
HAS EVALUATED THAT.
WE CERTAINLY AS A COUNCIL
HAVE NEVER HEARD WHAT
HAPPENED.
ALL WE KNOW IS THAT WE SPEND
MANY MILLIONS OF DALLAS IN
ARS IN COMPUTERS.
THAT WOULD BE A QUESTION,
HOW IS IT THAT WE ARE DOING
THINGS BETTER.
ARE WE ACTUALLY USING THIS
OR ANSWERING E-MAILS FROM
EVERYBODY THAT SENDS US TONS
OF THEM.
GOODMAN: DITTO.
MAYOR GARCIA: JUST TO --
BECAUSE I THINK EVERYBODY IS
FOCUSING ON THE PROGRAM
DEPARTMENTAL KIND OF CUTS
AND THE WAY WE HAD
ORIGINALLY ENVISIONED THIS,
NORMALLY STAFF WOULD HAVE
GONE OFF AND IN ORDER TO
PREPARE FOR THE PROPOSED
BUDGET HAVE ANSWERED A
SERIES OF QUESTIONS, EVERY
YEAR, EVERY BUDGET, THOSE
QUESTIONS HAVE TO BE
ANSWERED.
I WILL GIVE YOU SOME
EXAMPLES.
ARE WE WILLING TO DO A TAX
INCREASE?
AND IF SO, HOW MUCH?
WHAT SHOULD THE UTILITY
TRANSFERS BE?
AND AT WHAT LEVEL?
WHAT IS THE PAY PACKAGE FOR
EMPLOYEES?
WHAT ARE THE LEVEL OF
BENEFITS AND WHAT LIVELY OF
SUBSIDY ABOUT THE CITY.
YOU GO ON, A DOZEN OR SO
MORE BASIC QUESTIONS THAT
HAVE A BIG COST RAMIFICATION
AND -- IN BALANCING YOUR
BUDGET.
SO THE IDEA WAS TO START
WITH THOSE DOZEN, TWO DOZEN
QUESTIONS AND RATHER THAN
HAND YOU A BALANCED BUDGET,
THAT WE HAVE ALREADY MADE
DECISIONS ON THOSE, WE WOULD
GET DIRECTIONS ON THE FRONT
END FROM YOU.
ON HOW YOU WOULD LIKE TO
MOVE FORWARD.
AND FROM THERE I THINK THAT
YOU WILL GENERATE ANY NUMBER
OF OTHER QUESTIONS AND
THINGS THAT YOU WANT MORE
INFORMATION ON TO GIVE US
BASICALLY BUDGET PARAMETERS
OR BUDGET PRINCIPLES.
THAT'S JUST A GENERAL IDEA
OF HOW IT WAS ORIGINALLY
CONCEIVED.
AND IT WILL -- IT WILL START
AT A BROADER CHUNKED UP
LEVEL THAN IS THIS
PROGRAM -- SHOULD THIS
PROGRAM BE REDUCED VERSUS
THIS PROGRAM.
A REALLY HIGHER LEVEL
QUESTIONS THAT YOU START
WITH TO KNOW HOW TO BALANCE
YOUR BUDGET.
BUT THAT'S A STARTING PLACE.
WE ARE GOING TO CONTINUE TO
WORK WITH THE MAYOR'S OFFICE
AND EACH OF YOU ALL TO MAKE
SURE THAT -- THAT THE THINGS
THAT YOU NEED TO KNOW TO
MAKE THESE DECISIONS ARE
PART OF THE STRUCTURE OF
THESE WORK SESSIONS.
MAYOR GARCIA: YOU SAY
THAT -- THAT MY BUDGETING
PROFESSOR AT THE UNIVERSITY
OF TEXAS, DR. GLEN WELCH
USED TO SAY THAT WHEN YOU DO
BUDGETING, YOU DO IT
QUANTITY TAKE
THANK YOU.
THE NEXT ITEM ON THE
AGENDA, AND IT'S ABOUT
12:00 O'CLOCK.
I DON'T KNOW EXACTLY HOW
LONG WE'RE GOING TO TAKE
ON THIS.
THE PERSON THAT BROUGHT
THIS TO OUR ATTENTION --
COUNCILMEMBER WYNN
HAD ASKED THAT WE GO ON
AND POSTPONE THIS
DISCUSSION UNTIL
TOMORROW BECAUSE WE KNOW
ALL OF YOU ALL HAVE SOME
COMMITMENTS AND WE'VE
LOST OUR TIME.
SO WE HAVE THIS POSTED
TOMORROW AND WE'LL
INCLUDE IT AS PART OF
THAT PRESENTATION
TOMORROW.
MAYOR GARCIA: MOTION
TO ADJOURN.
SLUSHER: SO MOVE.
MAYOR GARCIA: MOTION
AND A SECOND.
ALL IN FAVOR, SIGNIFY BY
SAYING AYE.
AYE.
MAYOR GARCIA: OPPOSED
NO.
MOTION CARRIES AND WE'RE
AUNDER.
End of Council Session Closed Caption Log
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